Yesterday's New York Times contained three interesting items that deserve to be read together. Taken as a whole, they tell you a lot about the fundamental challenge facing Barack Obama.

The first item was Frank Rich's op-ed column, a jeremiad about Washington's insider culture. Rich nicely describes a world where out-of-touch elites with the right connections continue to enjoy ready access to power. Rich focuses his attention on Tom Daschle's fall from grace and the prominent role of economic advisors "who are either alumni of the financial bubble's insiders club or of the somnambulant governmental establishment that presided over the catastrophe." His broader point, however, is that Washington is infused with a culture of non-accountability and intellectual incest that helps explain why so many policy initiatives are ill-conceived or ineptly executed, or both.

The second article was a page 1 profile of special envoy Richard Holbrooke, who is now Obama's point man for Afghanistan and Pakistan. Holbrooke is a long-time Washington insider who served as U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations and was the driving force behind the 1995 Dayton peace accords that ended the Bosnian civil war. (He was also managing editor of Foreign Policy back in the 1970s). Since 2001, he has been vice-chairman of Perseus LLC, a Manhattan-based private equity firm. According to the article, "During the Bush years, Perseus was Mr. Holbrooke's base, providing him with what friends say was a relatively undemanding job and lavish compensation as he bounced from topic to topic, almost as if seeking a problem tough enough to rivet all of his attention." Unfortunately, one of the topics he landed on was the invasion of Iraq, which he strongly supported. Holbrooke said Colin Powell's infamous U.N. Security Council speech "documenting" Iraq's fictitious WMD programs (an episode Powell later recalled as the "lowest moment of his life") was "a masterful job of diplomacy." While critical of the Bush administration's pre-war diplomacy, Holbrooke nonetheless argued that Saddam Hussein "was the most dangerous governmental leader in the world," and that the United States had "a legitimate right to take action."

Which brings us to item No. 3 (also on page 1): an unflattering article describing how Afghan President Hamid Karzai has gone from being Washington's best hope for success to being regarded as a weak and ineffective leader of what may be the most corrupt regime in the world. Buried in the article is a telling sentence: "Many Afghans and Western officials here believe that it was the Iraq war, more than any other factor, that deprived Mr. Karzai of the resources he needed to help the Afghan state stand on its own and to prevent the resurgence of the Taliban." That's right: the same Iraq war that Holbrooke backed.

Put these three separate articles together, and you get a good sense of how U.S. policy gets made. Powerful people with the right connections rise to important roles in government. When not in power, they land lucrative jobs that still leave them with lots of time to engage in public life, spending most of it hobnobbing with other people with similar backgrounds, advantages, and world-views, while building the connections they will need to get back into power later on. (Holbrooke apparently spent some of his Perseus earnings hosting an annual dinner for Hillary Clinton, replete with a set of A-list guests). And then the political wheel turns, and they return to public life, eager to solve the very problems they helped create.

Like most elites, the current policy establishment is a forgiving culture that cherishes conventional wisdom and rarely punishes anyone for being wrong -- even about big things -- provided that they know the right people. F. Scott Fitzgerald had it exactly wrong: for at least some American lives, there's no end to second chances.

My point here isn't to single out Ambassador Holbrooke, who is talented and tenacious and has some genuine accomplishments to his credit, and who is hardly a poster child for the adage "to get along, go along." In fact, given our current circumstances, I wish we had a few more Holbrookes to put to work on our current challenges.

My aim is simply to highlight Obama's basic dilemma. He has huge problems to solve and not a lot of time to do it. So he needs to work with the institutions and individuals that are currently entrenched in the Washington-New York nexus. To paraphrase Donald Rumsfeld, "you go to work with the government you have." But it is those same institutions and individuals who created the mess we're in. If Obama tackles that dysfunctional power structure head-on it will go to the mattresses to defend itself, thereby making it harder to address the immediate problems we face. But if he doesn't establish new ways of doing the public's business, the old problems will persist and derail his efforts anyway. I don't see an obvious way out of this box, so I'm hoping the President is a lot smarter than me.

Photo by Brendan Smialowski/Getty Images

 
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GRAND SEN-OR

11:48 PM ET

February 9, 2009

If Obama tackles that (updated - 2)

If Obama tackles that dysfunctional power structure head-on

some call it deep state...
it is disfunctional for some, but quite functional for others;->

it will go to the mattresses to defend itself, thereby making it harder to address the immediate problems we face. But if he doesn't establish new ways of doing the public's business, the old problems will persist and derail his efforts anyway. I don't see an obvious way out of this box, so I'm hoping the President is a lot smarter than me.

Obama did not promise any structural change. You cannot get rid of the deep state by cosmetic changes, no bargaining Professor, no bargaining!!;->. You have to willingly give back the power to their real owners as I explained before, then there won't be any power left hanging around loose so that some parasites to nibble on;->

Don't be so modest Professor, you are much smarter than that. You know what to do, it is just a matter of time that you will to do it. You have no other choice Mate;->

BTW, you know and I know that Obama cannot do it. But you - you may initiate/trigger the process to use intellect to achieve this, if you will.
The question is : Why will not?!
And I know the answer, but I am patient and never give up hoping.

Reality requires that everything must be happening openly in front of very eyes of observers so that they have no doubt about it - that is the challenge;->

Grand Sen~or

Further Notes:
Proessor Walt! What is the big deal Mate?!
In the end it will be just another TE of yours. If the Constitution you invent for the TE is realistic then the FP built on it would be realistic too as long as it observes its articles. At this stage you are not changing the Constitution, it is not your job to do that, you are not a leader or member of leadership yet remember! You are just a free-agent to advise, to coach the FP leadership free-of-charge, right?! A TE like that is not going to kill your reputation as some bloggers expect, beleive yourself!;->

Look! take it as a Constitution Shift, like Paradigm Shift;->

 

FULANA

5:47 AM ET

February 10, 2009

I'm starting to think that

I'm starting to think that there's another government behind the government because no matter who's in power, Republican/Democrat, white guy/black guy, Bush/Obama,the policies stay the same. Bush proposal to solve the economic crisis: have the taxpayers give 700 billion away. Obama solution: 800 billion. Obama said we wouldn't torture anymore but left gaping loopholes for rendition. His foreign policy looks like Bush's but with better PR. I had to turn off the radio in the middle of his press conference because he was going on and on about Iran, their attacks on other countries, their quest for nuclear weapons, and how Iran is the greatest threat to international peace right now. Give me a break! How many countries has Iran attacked in the last 60 years vs. how many countries has Israel attacked? And who has actual nuclear weapons in the middle east vs just doing research? Very disappointed so far. Maybe he was in on it all along or maybe he doesn't want to follow in JFK's footsteps.

 

BRETT

8:17 AM ET

February 10, 2009

I'd certainly question the

About your main point, Dr. Walt - isn't that more or less true about all governing elites? Connections have always mattered, and unfortunately, very harsh reality is usually the thing that acts as a winnower. As George Orwell once said, "sooner or later a false belief bumps up against solid reality, usually on a battlefield."

As it is, I don't have much hope for Obama to change Washington. To really do so, he'd have to bring in all of his own people, as a group, and actively work to keep them segregated from the greater Beltway culture. In essence, he'd have to create his own political culture, then aggressively attack the existing one by putting his people in important jobs with the power of appointment. Heavily professionalizing the government (i.e., creating a Civil Service Academy and eliminating a lot of the "appointee" positions) would probably help as well.

Right now, though, he is dependent on the Legislature and their people, and he keeps bringing in the connected and Washington folk to run his government.

 

BLUE13326

8:34 PM ET

February 10, 2009

I think you've hit on what's

I think you've hit on what's been most discouraging about many of Obama's appointments. He was supposed to represent change, not just an exchange from one corrupt cadre of elites back to the previous corrupt cadre of elites.

From my own limited experience, from the (few) people I know in defense and intelligence, there's a very unhealthy incestuousness about how these people go from government work to high-paying consultant positions. If he did something to break that connection, I think he'd be halfway there.

 

Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.

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