Posted By John Mearsheimer Share

By John J. Mearsheimer

Benjamin Netanyahu is in the final stages of putting together Israel's next government, which will be opposed to a two-state solution. Most importantly, the new prime minister and his Likud Party are firmly against a Palestinian state. The Labor Party, which will be part of the governing coalition and which has been identified with the two-state solution for the past two decades, did not insist that Likud support that policy as a condition for joining the government. Its leader, Ehud Barak, merely asked for and got a vague statement saying that Israel was committed to promoting regional peace. Avigdor Lieberman, who heads Yisrael Beiteinu, the other major party in the ruling coalition, is not likely to push to give the Palestinians a viable state of their own. His main concern is "transferring" the Palestinians out of Israel so that it can be an almost purely Jewish state.

So Israel will continue expanding its settlements in the West Bank. In fact, the Israeli press is reporting that Netanyahu and Lieberman agreed in their negotiations to form a government that Israel would build 3,000 housing units in an area between Jerusalem and Maale Adumim (a huge settlement bloc) known as E-1. Once that is accomplished, Israel will have effectively cut the West Bank in half, making it almost impossible to create a viable Palestinian state. This deal was supposed to be secret, because the United States is opposed to Israel building in the E-1 area.

The Palestinians, of course, will remain locked up in Gaza and a handful of enclaves on the West Bank. In essence, Netanyahu and his two key ministers -- Ehud Barak (Defense) and Avigdor Lieberman (Foreign Affairs) -- are committed to creating a Greater Israel, which will cover all of the territory that was once Mandate Palestine. 

The Obama administration will surely try to push Netanyahu to change his thinking about a two-state solution and work to give the Palestinians a real state of their own. The Israel lobby, however, will adamantly defend Israel's right to do whatever it wants in the Occupied Territories and make it impossible for the president to put significant pressure on Israel. Netanyahu, like all Israeli leaders, understands this basic fact of life. He knows that he will just have to say a few nice words about the "peace process" and blame the whole thing on the Palestinians, who he believes are a bunch of terrorists anyway, and he will be pretty much free to do whatever he wants in Gaza and the West Bank.

It seems clear to me and to many smart people I know that this story does not have a happy ending. Indeed, it looks like a disastrous ending. Greater Israel cannot be a democratic state, because there will soon be -- if there aren't already -- more Palestinians between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea than there are Israeli Jews. So, if you give each person one vote, Israel becomes Palestine. That is not going to happen anytime soon, if ever, which leaves two possible outcomes: apartheid and expelling the Palestinians -- and there are more than 5 million of them -- from Greater Israel. Talk about repulsive options. It is worth remembering that Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has said that if there is no two-state solution, Israel will end up in a South Africa-like situation and that will mean the end of the Jewish state. In effect, he is saying that Israel is turning itself into an apartheid state.

My bottom line is that Israel, with the backing of the lobby, is pursuing a remarkably foolish -- Ehud Olmert would say suicidal -- policy towards the Palestinians. 

I would appreciate it greatly if Israel's American backers would explain what I am missing here. They must think that there is a happy ending to this story that Olmert and I simply fail to see. Otherwise they would not be backing the Greater Israel enterprise. There is no need for Christian Zionists to respond, because I know what their happy ending is: the Battle of Armageddon and then the Second Coming of Christ. Israel's Jewish backers do not buy this story, which, in fact, many consider anti-Semitic. But they must have an alternative explanation for how Greater Israel is good for the Jews. What is it?

Uriel Sinai/Getty Images

 

AHMED MOOR

8:12 PM ET

March 26, 2009

One-state Solution

Dr. Mearsheimer,

Isn't it time for thought leaders like yourself and Dr. Walt to begin advocating a one-state solution? How can any moral person promote the idea of a 'Jewish State'? Shouldn't you be promoting the right of Jewish individuals to live alongside non-Jewish individuals in Palestine, in a secular democracy, like we have here in America?

Best Regards,
Ahmed Moor

 

GRAND SEN-OR

6:28 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Shouldn't you be promoting

Shouldn't you be promoting the right of Jewish individuals to live alongside non-Jewish individuals in Palestine, in a secular democracy, like we have here in America?

Yeah, that would serve better to save the "state";->>

But the IL is not serving to save the "state". That is what Mearsheimer and Walt don't want to understand. They are for to save the "state".
The IL is after full right to law. if they can't achieve it within the US, why wouldn't they try it within Israel.
Apartheid?! they can get away with it honestly locking Gentiles out rather than hypocritically trying to assimilate them like secularo-fascists try to achieve.

Grand Sen~or.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

6:02 PM ET

March 29, 2009

Solomon's Kingdom without Solomon & Solomon's Justice (updated)

Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has said that if there is no two-state solution, Israel will end up in a South Africa-like situation and that will mean the end of the Jewish state. In effect, he is saying that Israel is turning itself into an apartheid state.

If you Guys keep thinking(?!) interms of "state", of course there is no solution;-> Realistically speaking, you guys are not after solution, you are after to save the "state".

I would appreciate it greatly if Israel's American backers would explain what I am missing here. They must think that there is a happy ending to this story that Olmert and I simply fail to see.

It is not difficult to understand, like you have a dream, Israel has a dream of her own to establish the Kingdom of Solomon without Solomon by the support of the EUS = (EU + US).

The question is;->
Why wouldn't they have a dream ?
You have one.

There is no need for Christian Zionists to respond, because I know what their happy ending is: the Battle of Armageddon and then the Second Coming of Christ. Israel's Jewish backers do not buy this story,

Realistically speaking they must have a similar expectation of some-body's coming, why not Solomon ?! He is a good candidate to come back. But what is going to happen when he goes back ? And so far we don't see Solomon's Justice coming around there, forget about Solomon;->

Grand Sen~or.

 

AUGUST WEST

9:24 PM ET

March 26, 2009

Simple solution

The US should publicly state that for every Jewish Israeli living in one of those illegal colonies, one Palestinian will be allowed to return to Israel and reclaim his or her properties. We'd be pleasantly surprised at how fast the colonies disappear.

 

COURTNEYME109

9:31 PM ET

March 26, 2009

23 State Solution

Shouldn't Arab League absorb Palestinians? 22 nations with like over 250 million ppl could certainly benefit from rec'ving the most literate, PHD's per capita Arabs on the face of the earth with a history of voting in free, fair and transparent elections.

If Western Europa could absorb 8 million refugees then surely Arab League could handle it.

Hit up Palestine's dual daddies of Pyramidland and Jordan to finance the move and even Syria could pony up cash.

After all, losing every war you start against democratic members of the UN bears certain costs.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

6:31 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Shouldn't Arab League absorb

Shouldn't Arab League absorb Palestinians?

What if Palestinians don't want to be absorbed?
Jews don't want to be absorbed by others that's why they are trying to create a purely Jewish State. Their Aim is to attract 14M+ Jews around the world to Israel, they don't want to be assimilated/absorbed by others, do they? Otherwise they would immigrate to the US - the Paradise of Absorbtion /Assimilation - rather than Israel;->>

Grand Sen~or.

 

COURTNEYME109

9:30 PM ET

March 29, 2009

Wants, Desires and Facts

Alas, Palestinians lost that concern after losing turf on the battlefield and being used, abused and betrayed by Pyramidland and Jordan.

(Not to mention the horrific lives they are forced to endure in slave trading Syria)

This is all digression though. Dr M's bit was how to stop apartheid and the 23 State Solution would certainly put paid to that.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

8:11 AM ET

March 30, 2009

Jewish interests in the US is more than in Israel

Alas, Palestinians lost that concern after losing turf on the battlefield and being used, abused and betrayed by Pyramidland and Jordan.

Of corse this is your dream, but what you don't want to understand is semi-political structures (SPS) cannot be defeated by organised military operations. In fact those operations it works for the benefit of the SPS. In the long run it really starts hurting the organised army by politicizing it. It is a big mistake to chase SPS by military means. And once the organised army is politicized, then that is the end of it, it is reduced to SPS and is ready to eat its masters;->

SPS knows very well its shortcomings and it has nothing to lose, that is why when organised army hits it always misses the target. Remember Vietnam how the US day and night bombarded Mekong Delta.

Now it looks like it is your turn to sing;->
Wam, pam, thank you ma'am

But if I were in your boots, I would get ready for the exodus in any case.

I gave you good advice what you have to do as a Jew in Israel and a Jew in the EUS, give heed to my advice, stop dreaming, read your history carefully. If you don't understand what I am trying to say, go ask your Rabbi to explain it to you. And in the mean time keep asking yourself "where does the majority of our interests lay as Jews?" as Dr. M by this blog item guides you to question and look for an answer, don't make mistakes.
If you ask me, you already become like your adversary - an SPS who thinks that he also has nothing to lose;->
You guys are reduced;->>

Here is the question again:

"Is Greater Israel good for the Jews ?"

Mark Dr M's question, he doesn't ask

"Is Greater Israel good for Israelis ?"

And also mark that less than 36% of Jews are Israelis. There are more Jews living in the US than Israel about 45%. The assets of Jews in the US is perhaps 100 times more than what they have in Israel.
For the Jews Israel is just another poor state. So, it is realistic that they should protect their interests in the US rather than in Israel first. That is what Walt & Mearsheimer trying to remind you and you don't like it?! You must be non-Jews rather than non-Americans;->>

Grand Sen~or.

 

AUGUST WEST

12:45 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Why should the Arabs states pay the price for Israel?

Asking the other Arab states to pay the price for Israel is like asking the rest of North America to absorb all the Native Americans we have shoved into reservations. The Palestinians were there first. The Zionists came to them, not vice versa (regardless of Joan Peters' hoax).

As for starting wars, Israel has started every was other than 1973. Israel attacked first in 1947, 1956, 1967, 1980, and 2006. These were wars of conquest and destruction, not wars of self defense.

As for certain costs, there are certain costs for engaging in ethnic cleansing. When you use mass terror to purify a region of people committing the crime of being part of the wrong ethnic group, you must bear certain costs.

 

COURTNEYME109

9:32 PM ET

March 29, 2009

Why Not? They started it!

YAWN. Look, no diss meant but face it. How did the entire sorry mess start?

Oh, yeah right. Egypt, Syria and Jordan started and lost several wars against Little Satan.

Nothing Magic about it.

Compare a map of Deutschland in like 1909 with one today. What the heck happened? Das Reich shrunk by like 25%!

Unlike intolerant Arab League cats - Europa absorbed those refugees and they became loyal productive citizens.

Never hear about rowdy Deutschers panzerschreking
G'Dansk and crying about Danzig. Or Greeks firing homemade rockets about right of return to Smyrna

Incorrect about the "Summer of Love War" too - closing the Straights and kicking UN out of Sinai were acts of war.

Essentially the afore named cats bear great responsibility for Palestine.

If they are so tore up about it, their regimes cry out it must be solved, then man up and handle it.

 

TXEAGLE

12:58 PM ET

April 4, 2009

why does not Louisiana absorb the population of Texas & Florida?

What sick logic is this? It follows therefore according to your logic that Louisiana should absorb the population of Texas and Florida and turn over both states respectively to illegal Mexican immigrants and Cuban exiles to set up their own states!!!!!!!After all America has 50 states twice as many as the Arab states!!!!!!

Arabs can set up as many states as they please so long as it is on Arab land including a Palestinian state in Arab Historic PAlestine. It is not a great advantage for the Arabs to have 22 states at all and there should be no more than four states:The Fertile Crecsent(Greater Syria which includes occupied Palestine and Iraq,the Nile Valley (Egypt and Sudan),the Arabian Peninsula (all gulf states,saudi and Yemen)and the Magharib (Libya,Tunsia,Alegria,Morocco and Mauritinia).No one benefits from the a divided Arab World into tiny entities about the size of a county except "israel."

The jews have no such right to set up a state on Arab Land especially when their overwhelming majority are illegal immigarnts allowed by treacharous mandate Britain to Arab PAlestine between the two great wars.

jewish claims based on bizare and mytical biblical fiction such as G..d gave us this land can not be taken seriously and have no credibility in fact: such false claims are an invitation for a religious war with the occupied and exiled Palestinian Muslims and beyond BECAUSE the Quran does not recognise nor accepts such false claims-they would be blasphemy as a true GOD would never choose one race over another.

Even the name "israel" is a false choice dug up from biblical mtyhs to invent some kind of ligitimacy and as such "israel" is a racist,apartheid,militaristic,ethno-religous colonial settler entity.

"israel" was born dead and is on its way out-as was the case with apartheid white nuclear south africa.

 

BULLIEDPULPIT

10:14 PM ET

March 26, 2009

You got me.

It looks to me like the victory of ideology over common sense. In that, the Israeli conservatives are not alone, but few others have such high stakes. I can only see this ending badly and bloodily. I hope against hope that Mr. Obama shows the intestinal fortitude to play hardball with Israel regarding new settlements. And he needs to start doing it *now*, and not wait until he's a lame duck, like most presidents seem to do.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

11:03 PM ET

March 26, 2009

Prior to the "state" precede

Prior to the "state" precede the "people"

Not according to the SATFP, why don't you bring your theory?

Those who want to live in Israel, will do so after loyalty oaths.

You mean like the Jews do in the US...
then the Palestinians in Israel will form a Palestinian Lobby to get a Palestinian State established by the support of Israel and the EUS somewhere outside of Israel;->>
That sound an attractive solution for all;->>
I bet even Dr. Mearsheimer and Prof. Walt wouldn't say no to this for it saves the state with a prospect of creating another imaginaty state "Palestine" like "Israel". Son't worry about the nation Mate!, once you create the State from out of the blue, you can fill it up with a nation from here and there easily;->>

Grand Sen~or.

 

TESS

2:16 AM ET

March 27, 2009

You mean like the Jews do in

You mean like the Jews do in the US...

No, he means like the MacDonalds of Glencoe were made to swear to King William II of Scotland.

I think this would turn out about as well as that did.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

4:20 AM ET

March 27, 2009

You mean they will be

You mean they will be "extirpated";->>
I must be too optimistic than realistic;->>

Grand Sen~or.

 

TESS

10:57 AM ET

March 27, 2009

No, not extirpated,

No, not extirpated, slaughtered.

It is hard to understand the Palestinian connection to the land. As I have said before, I believe the primary identity from the time of the Ottomans, until the time of the Occupation was that of city state, then again, most of my study and experience has been of Christian villages like Nazareth, Taybeh, Bir Zeit, and Ramallah. Certainly, Christians were the first to take on the Western idea of nation state and accept it, for it is their writing in al-Filistin that is indicated. Then again, one could equally argue that it was intellectuals in general. Thinking on this, it may well be the first example in this case, because Christians lack state structure in their religion, and probably had their own identity formulations given that the Islamic conception of identity and state would have been formulated beyond their belief system. Well, that gives me something to think about, and probably lends well to your SPEE arguments.

Either way, by this point in history, Palestinians have figured out, moving means losing their rights to their ancestral home. So, they will likely say they respect the Israeli state, no matter how they feel.

If there is a 2 state solution, I am pretty certain that for many it will be genuine. Prior to "Summer Rain" I think it would have been higher for a non-two state solution. Things have rather disintegrated since, though support for the Israeli state has been on a decline for a while. I still feel that is a reflection of a need for a civil rights movement. I do realize that you disagreed with this, when we discussed it prior.

But, what does it say about Israeli ability to accept their fealty, if this groups is not in the street bearing arms and calling for revolution, and they are asked to swear fealty when many of their complaints are no different than that of other Israelis who won't be asked about their loyalty because they are Jewish.

Aside from that, I find the idea outside the nature of social contract. If Arab Israelis are to participate in and have a contract with the state, the state needs to provide them with certain protections in return for surrendering certain of their rights. If not, they have the right to call the contract illegitimate.

BTW, the MacDonalds swore fealty, and were slaughtered for it anyway, hence my example. Given your wink, you probably knew that.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

7:07 PM ET

March 27, 2009

BTW, the MacDonalds swore

BTW, the MacDonalds swore fealty, and were slaughtered for it anyway, hence my example. Given your wink, you probably knew that.

But the order given by the state was not "slaughter!", it was "extirpate!" to save the state.

As I have explained on my other messages I don't see a solution for Jews with one or two state. The solution is no state and I know many Jews agree with me who were in the beginning against the creation of a dummy state Israel there. It is pschycotic and waste of energy to fight for the state in the ME while most of the Jews cosily living with no right to law in the EUS. The IL's and other Lobbies should see this reality and make to gain the right to law their first priority, before dreaming higher political structures to realise, they should better work to dissolve the state of Israel, rather than trying to save it.

Grand Sen~or.

 

TESS

8:01 PM ET

March 27, 2009

But the order given by the

But the order given by the state was not "slaughter!", it was "extirpate!" to save the state.

Well, I am beyond knowing how to "extirpate" a people without slaughtering them, given that one of the words definitions is totally destroy/ exterminate. :-|

The rest of your argument I cannot see without some change in other nations. I can agree that the idea of nation state, and even "state" itself, is a social/cultural construct as there are societies that have existed without the construct. But, I don't see survival in a world using one system, and another group trying to use another because circumstances don't fit. Perhaps one day, you will elaborate on how that would work for the skeptics.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

6:16 PM ET

March 29, 2009

"state" itself, is a

"state" itself, is a social/cultural construct

"state" as it is used today is just a by-product of French Revolution. It doesn't work any more, it is time to develop better concepts to replace it.

Perhaps one day, you will elaborate on how that would work for the skeptics.

It is not a matter of elaboration, it is a matter of "will". If you will to use "state" you will always find some arguments to save it, like you are trying to do on this message. It is you who will not to use it and invent other concepts which will serve you better with the problems you have to deal with. I can't help you to "will";->
All I can do is to show you why you end up in this confusion - problems with no solution. To show you that it is not a real problem if there is no solution. When I try to attract your attention on "state", trying to show you that the pseudo problems with no solutions you are struggling with is caused by your choice of concepts and the main one is "state".

I don't see survival in a world using one system, and another group trying to use another

The survival you are after will and can be achieved if you have a functional language to communicate with your kind of people. A language which won't drag you into problems which have no solutions what-so-ever. A language which will serve you to observe/account and express the reality, rather than make you try to save non-real as real for convenience that you have inherited from your fathers.

As I have told before, I am not here to supply solutions, I am here to show you how you end up with such problems(?!) that you really have no solutions;->
By doing this I am trying to show you that if you change your concepts and your way of life accordingly you may avoid such confusions. So, the solutions depend to your will, not my trying to convince you to change. I mean, if you are happy to keep arguing about your pseudo problems and think that you will reach some sort of solutions eventually just to save the concepts that you have, it is your choice, like a fly in a bottle keep banging its head to the glass wall rather than flying through the mouth of the bottle that I am trying to show;->>
Here is my message to Jews:
Forget the "state", you'll be alright Mates!
Struggle for your rights to law, that is what you need first and foremost. Don't forget, majority of you are not living in Israel. Israel is just another state with mono-law structure which most of you don't see as your laws to live on, otherwise you would mass immigrate there to feel at home. It is just a Fantasy Land for you which you want to keep it going with your tips. You are at home where you are and there struggle for your right to law if you are that keen and fond of them. Don't cheat yourselves by people in Israel will live your laws and you will be just proud of it without willing to experience them yourselves.

Grand Sen~or.

 

CLINT

11:33 PM ET

March 26, 2009

Where is Israel headed?

Israel is fast catching up to Apartheid South Africa.

In another 30 years we can expect sanctions.

Whereas it is un-PC to be racist against blacks and Jews, it is great fun, and all the rage, to be racist against Arabs and muslims.

This gives you more insight into the Israeli mind than anything else -- from an Israeli newspaper:

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1072466.html

Dead Palestinian babies and bombed mosques - IDF fashion 2009

By Uri Blau
Tags: Israel News, IDF, Gaza

The office at the Adiv fabric-printing shop in south Tel Aviv handles a constant stream of customers, many of them soldiers in uniform, who come to order custom clothing featuring their unit's insignia, usually accompanied by a slogan and drawing of their choosing. Elsewhere on the premises, the sketches are turned into plates used for imprinting the ordered items, mainly T-shirts and baseball caps, but also hoodies, fleece jackets and pants. A young Arab man from Jaffa supervises the workers who imprint the words and pictures, and afterward hands over the finished product.

Dead babies, mothers weeping on their children's graves, a gun aimed at a child and bombed-out mosques - these are a few examples of the images Israel Defense Forces soldiers design these days to print on shirts they order to mark the end of training, or of field duty. The slogans accompanying the drawings are not exactly anemic either: A T-shirt for infantry snipers bears the inscription "Better use Durex," next to a picture of a dead Palestinian baby, with his weeping mother and a teddy bear beside him. A sharpshooter's T-shirt from the Givati Brigade's Shaked battalion shows a pregnant Palestinian woman with a bull's-eye superimposed on her belly, with the slogan, in English, "1 shot, 2 kills." A "graduation" shirt for those who have completed another snipers course depicts a Palestinian baby, who grows into a combative boy and then an armed adult, with the inscription, "No matter how it begins, we'll put an end to it."

There are also plenty of shirts with blatant sexual messages. For example, the Lavi battalion produced a shirt featuring a drawing of a soldier next to a young woman with bruises, and the slogan, "Bet you got raped!" A few of the images underscore actions whose existence the army officially denies - such as "confirming the kill" (shooting a bullet into an enemy victim's head from close range, to ensure he is dead), or harming religious sites, or female or child non-combatants.
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In many cases, the content is submitted for approval to one of the unit's commanders. The latter, however, do not always have control over what gets printed, because the artwork is a private initiative of soldiers that they never hear about. Drawings or slogans previously banned in certain units have been approved for distribution elsewhere. For example, shirts declaring, "We won't chill 'til we confirm the kill" were banned in the past (the IDF claims that the practice doesn't exist), yet the Haruv battalion printed some last year.

The slogan "Let every Arab mother know that her son's fate is in my hands!" had previously been banned for use on another infantry unit's shirt. A Givati soldier said this week, however, that at the end of last year, his platoon printed up dozens of shirts, fleece jackets and pants bearing this slogan.

"It has a drawing depicting a soldier as the Angel of Death, next to a gun and an Arab town," he explains. "The text was very powerful. The funniest part was that when our soldier came to get the shirts, the man who printed them was an Arab, and the soldier felt so bad that he told the girl at the counter to bring them to him."

Does the design go to the commanders for approval?

The Givati soldier: "Usually the shirts undergo a selection process by some officer, but in this case, they were approved at the level of platoon sergeant. We ordered shirts for 30 soldiers and they were really into it, and everyone wanted several items and paid NIS 200 on average."

What do you think of the slogan that was printed?

"I didn't like it so much, but most of the soldiers wanted it."

Many controversial shirts have been ordered by graduates of snipers courses, which bring together soldiers from various units. In 2006, soldiers from the "Carmon Team" course for elite-unit marksmen printed a shirt with a drawing of a knife-wielding Palestinian in the crosshairs of a gun sight, and the slogan, "You've got to run fast, run fast, run fast, before it's all over." Below is a drawing of Arab women weeping over a grave and the words: "And afterward they cry, and afterward they cry." [The inscriptions are riffs on a popular song.] Another sniper's shirt also features an Arab man in the crosshairs, and the announcement, "Everything is with the best of intentions."

G., a soldier in an elite unit who has done a snipers course, explained that, "it's a type of bonding process, and also it's well known that anyone who is a sniper is messed up in the head. Our shirts have a lot of double entendres, for example: 'Bad people with good aims.' Every group that finishes a course puts out stuff like that."

When are these shirts worn?

G. "These are shirts for around the house, for jogging, in the army. Not for going out. Sometimes people will ask you what it's about."

Of the shirt depicting a bull's-eye on a pregnant woman, he said: "There are people who think it's not right, and I think so as well, but it doesn't really mean anything. I mean it's not like someone is gonna go and shoot a pregnant woman."

What is the idea behind the shirt from July 2007, which has an image of a child with the slogan "Smaller - harder!"?

"It's a kid, so you've got a little more of a problem, morally, and also the target is smaller."

Do your superiors approve the shirts before printing?

"Yes, although one time they rejected some shirt that was too extreme. I don't remember what was on it."

These shirts also seem pretty extreme. Why draw crosshairs over a child - do you shoot kids?

'We came, we saw'

"As a sniper, you get a lot of extreme situations. You suddenly see a small boy who picks up a weapon and it's up to you to decide whether to shoot. These shirts are half-facetious, bordering on the truth, and they reflect the extreme situations you might encounter. The one who-honest-to-God sees the target with his own eyes - that's the sniper."

Have you encountered a situation like that?

"Fortunately, not involving a kid, but involving a woman - yes. There was someone who wasn't holding a weapon, but she was near a prohibited area and could have posed a threat."

What did you do?

"I didn't take it" (i.e., shoot).

You don't regret that, I imagine.

"No. Whomever I had to shoot, I shot."

A shirt printed up just this week for soldiers of the Lavi battalion, who spent three years in the West Bank, reads: "We came, we saw, we destroyed!" - alongside images of weapons, an angry soldier and a Palestinian village with a ruined mosque in the center.

A shirt printed after Operation Cast Lead in Gaza for Battalion 890 of the Paratroops depicts a King Kong-like soldier in a city under attack. The slogan is unambiguous: "If you believe it can be fixed, then believe it can be destroyed!"

Y., a soldier/yeshiva student, designed the shirt. "You take whoever [in the unit] knows how to draw and then you give it to the commanders before printing," he explained.

What is the soldier holding in his hand?

Y. "A mosque. Before I drew the shirt I had some misgivings, because I wanted it to be like King Kong, but not too monstrous. The one holding the mosque - I wanted him to have a more normal-looking face, so it wouldn't look like an anti-Semitic cartoon. Some of the people who saw it told me, 'Is that what you've got to show for the IDF? That it destroys homes?' I can understand people who look at this from outside and see it that way, but I was in Gaza and they kept emphasizing that the object of the operation was to wreak destruction on the infrastructure, so that the price the Palestinians and the leadership pay will make them realize that it isn't worth it for them to go on shooting. So that's the idea of 'we're coming to destroy' in the drawing."

According to Y., most of these shirts are worn strictly in an army context, not in civilian life. "And within the army people look at it differently," he added. "I don't think I would walk down the street in this shirt, because it would draw fire. Even at my yeshiva I don't think people would like it."

Y. also came up with a design for the shirt his unit printed at the end of basic training. It shows a clenched fist shattering the symbol of the Paratroops Corps.

Where does the fist come from?

"It's reminiscent of [Rabbi Meir] Kahane's symbol. I borrowed it from an emblem for something in Russia, but basically it's supposed to look like Kahane's symbol, the one from 'Kahane Was Right' - it's a sort of joke. Our company commander is kind of gung-ho."

Was the shirt printed?

"Yes. It was a company shirt. We printed about 100 like that."

This past January, the "Night Predators" demolitions platoon from Golani's Battalion 13 ordered a T-shirt showing a Golani devil detonating a charge that destroys a mosque. An inscription above it says, "Only God forgives."

One of the soldiers in the platoon downplays it: "It doesn't mean much, it's just a T-shirt from our platoon. It's not a big deal. A friend of mine drew a picture and we made it into a shirt."

What's the idea behind "Only God forgives"?

The soldier: "It's just a saying."

No one had a problem with the fact that a mosque gets blown up in the picture?

"I don't see what you're getting at. I don't like the way you're going with this. Don't take this somewhere you're not supposed to, as though we hate Arabs."

After Operation Cast Lead, soldiers from that battalion printed a T-shirt depicting a vulture sexually penetrating Hamas' prime minister, Ismail Haniyeh, accompanied by a particularly graphic slogan. S., a soldier in the platoon that ordered the shirt, said the idea came from a similar shirt, printed after the Second Lebanon War, that featured Hassan Nasrallah instead of Haniyeh.

"They don't okay things like that at the company level. It's a shirt we put out just for the platoon," S. explained.

What's the problem with this shirt?

S.: "It bothers some people to see these things, from a religious standpoint ..."

How did people who saw it respond?

"We don't have that many Orthodox people in the platoon, so it wasn't a problem. It's just something the guys want to put out. It's more for wearing around the house, and not within the companies, because it bothers people. The Orthodox mainly. The officers tell us it's best not to wear shirts like this on the base."

The sketches printed in recent years at the Adiv factory, one of the largest of its kind in the country, are arranged in drawers according to the names of the units placing the orders: Paratroops, Golani, air force, sharpshooters and so on. Each drawer contains hundreds of drawings, filed by year. Many of the prints are cartoons and slogans relating to life in the unit, or inside jokes that outsiders wouldn't get (and might not care to, either), but a handful reflect particular aggressiveness, violence and vulgarity.

Print-shop manager Haim Yisrael, who has worked there since the early 1980s, said Adiv prints around 1,000 different patterns each month, with soldiers accounting for about half. Yisrael recalled that when he started out, there were hardly any orders from the army.

"The first ones to do it were from the Nahal brigade," he said. "Later on other infantry units started printing up shirts, and nowadays any course with 15 participants prints up shirts."

From time to time, officers complain. "Sometimes the soldiers do things that are inside jokes that only they get, and sometimes they do something foolish that they take to an extreme," Yisrael explained. "There have been a few times when commanding officers called and said, 'How can you print things like that for soldiers?' For example, with shirts that trashed the Arabs too much. I told them it's a private company, and I'm not interested in the content. I can print whatever I like. We're neutral. There have always been some more extreme and some less so. It's just that now more people are making shirts."

Race to be unique

Evyatar Ben-Tzedef, a research associate at the International Policy Institute for Counter-Terrorism and former editor of the IDF publication Maarachot, said the phenomenon of custom-made T-shirts is a product of "the infantry's insane race to be unique. I, for example, had only one shirt that I received after the Yom Kippur War. It said on it, 'The School for Officers,' and that was it. What happened since then is a product of the decision to assign every unit an emblem and a beret. After all, there used to be very few berets: black, red or green. This changed in the 1990s. [The shirts] developed because of the fact that for bonding purposes, each unit created something that was unique to it.

"These days the content on shirts is sometimes deplorable," Ben-Tzedef explained. "It stems from the fact that profanity is very acceptable and normative in Israel, and that there is a lack of respect for human beings and their environment, which includes racism aimed in every direction."

Yossi Kaufman, who moderates the army and defense forum on the Web site Fresh, served in the Armored Corps from 1996 to 1999. "I also drew shirts, and I remember the first one," he said. "It had a small emblem on the front and some inside joke, like, 'When we die, we'll go to heaven, because we've already been through hell.'"

Kaufman has also been exposed to T-shirts of the sort described here. "I know there are shirts like these," he says. "I've heard and also seen a little. These are not shirts that soldiers can wear in civilian life, because they would get stoned, nor at a battalion get-together, because the battalion commander would be pissed off. They wear them on very rare occasions. There's all sorts of black humor stuff, mainly from snipers, such as, 'Don't bother running because you'll die tired' - with a drawing of a Palestinian boy, not a terrorist. There's a Golani or Givati shirt of a soldier raping a girl, and underneath it says, 'No virgins, no terror attacks.' I laughed, but it was pretty awful. When I was asked once to draw things like that, I said it wasn't appropriate."

The IDF Spokesman's Office comments on the phenomenon: "Military regulations do not apply to civilian clothing, including shirts produced at the end of basic training and various courses. The designs are printed at the soldiers' private initiative, and on civilian shirts. The examples raised by Haaretz are not in keeping with the values of the IDF spirit, not representative of IDF life, and are in poor taste. Humor of this kind deserves every condemnation and excoriation. The IDF intends to take action for the immediate eradication of this phenomenon. To this end, it is emphasizing to commanding officers that it is appropriate, among other things, to take discretionary and disciplinary measures against those involved in acts of this sort."

Shlomo Tzipori, a lieutenant colonel in the reserves and a lawyer specializing in martial law, said the army does bring soldiers up on charges for offenses that occur outside the base and during their free time. According to Tzipori, slogans that constitute an "insult to the army or to those in uniform" are grounds for court-martial, on charges of "shameful conduct" or "disciplinary infraction," which are general clauses in judicial martial law.

Sociologist Dr. Orna Sasson-Levy, of Bar-Ilan University, author of "Identities in Uniform: Masculinities and Femininities in the Israeli Military," said that the phenomenon is "part of a radicalization process the entire country is undergoing, and the soldiers are at its forefront. I think that ever since the second intifada there has been a continual shift to the right. The pullout from Gaza and its outcome - the calm that never arrived - led to a further shift rightward.

"This tendency is most strikingly evident among soldiers who encounter various situations in the territories on a daily basis. There is less meticulousness than in the past, and increasing callousness. There is a perception that the Palestinian is not a person, a human being entitled to basic rights, and therefore anything may be done to him."

Could the printing of clothing be viewed also as a means of venting aggression?

Sasson-Levy: "No. I think it strengthens and stimulates aggression and legitimizes it. What disturbs me is that a shirt is something that has permanence. The soldiers later wear it in civilian life; their girlfriends wear it afterward. It is not a statement, but rather something physical that remains, that is out there in the world. Beyond that, I think the link made between sexist views and nationalist views, as in the 'Screw Haniyeh' shirt, is interesting. National chauvinism and gender chauvinism combine and strengthen one another. It establishes a masculinity shaped by violent aggression toward women and Arabs; a masculinity that considers it legitimate to speak in a crude and violent manner toward women and Arabs."

Col. (res.) Ron Levy began his military service in the Sayeret Matkal elite commando force before the Six-Day War. He was the IDF's chief psychologist, and headed the army's mental health department in the 1980s.

Levy: "I'm familiar with things of this sort going back 40, 50 years, and each time they take a different form. Psychologically speaking, this is one of the ways in which soldiers project their anger, frustration and violence. It is a certain expression of things, which I call 'below the belt.'"

Do you think this a good way to vent anger?

Levy: "It's safe. But there are also things here that deviate from the norm, and you could say that whoever is creating these things has reached some level of normality. He gives expression to the fact that what is considered abnormal today might no longer be so tomorrow."

 

GRAND SEN-OR

12:09 AM ET

March 27, 2009

Israel is fast catching up to

Israel is fast catching up to Apartheid South Africa.

What is wrong with Apartheid, let them head on to it, it is the next stage to the State like you have one in the SA today;->>
It would be interesting Jews' exodus back to the EUS, WMDs in their suitcases;->
But maybe that is what our Professors worried about more than anything else;->>

Proessor here is another song for your repertoire Mate!

River Road

Here I go, once again
With my suitcase in my hand
And I'm running away down River Road
And I swear, once again, that I'm never coming home
Yes I'm chasing my dreams down River Road
:
how can you forget this Mate?!

Grand Sen~or.

 

PETER N W

12:33 AM ET

March 27, 2009

Tell Me How This Ends

The only way out of this Chinese water torture style bloodbath is a 2 state solution, with a US led multinational peace force to oversee the whole process. And by process, I mean at least a decade.

This assumes many things, not least of which would be the cessation of hostilities by Palestinian extremists. No Israeli leader is going to support a Palestinian state along its border as long as the likes of Hamas is around.

Does anyone think there is a realistic chance of US support for peacekeepers in Israel?

 

MICA

6:17 PM ET

March 27, 2009

I wish it will be

I wish it will be possible,

but a country sending troops there will become a stakeholder (as is the U.S. now), and will be held responsible of the evolution of the conflict.
As soon as some of its blue helmet will die, there will be a lot of pressure at home to withdraw, and this painful role of buffer will bring the risk of acts of terrorism in the homeland.
I don't see which country will commit itself to get sunk in such a mess.

 

RICHARD WITTYQ

3:48 AM ET

March 27, 2009

Netanyahu

Netanyahu's strategy is to control the West Bank permanently, NOT to annex it.

He won't go as far as annexation as that will illustrate the apartheid analogy. He'll probably end up though going that far, which in effect is the single-state solution.

The two-state solution is so obviously the only prospect for peace or for justice, as to be silly.

A single-state results in civil unrest, leading to civil war, with Israel as the dominant military controlling a LARGER portion, with the justification that it is partition of a civil war (NOT an occupation).

Or, the laws of title would have to be open to the marketplace if it is to be a civil democracy, in which case, Jews would buy more and more of the land until it is a single Zionist state, legally.

 

DICKERSON3870

4:21 AM ET

March 27, 2009

RE: "But they must have an

RE: "But they must have an alternative explanation for how Greater Israel is good for the Jews. What is it?"

ELLIOTT ABRAMS SPEAKING TO THE REPUBLICAN JEWISH COALITION IN FT. LAUDERDALE THIS PAST SATURDAY:
On the subject of Israel, Abrams predicts some friction in the near term between Obama and Netanyahu because the Obama administration believes that the main problem in brokering an Israeli/Palestinian final status agreement is Israel’s settlement expansion. This, according to Abrams, is false. “I can illustrate why [this is false] very simply,” said Abrams. “Look at what [Ehud] Barak proposed ten years ago. Look at what Olmert offered recently. Olmert offered more.”

MY COMMENT: This is a beautiful example of neocon ‘logic’. Olmert offered more? Oh really! The neocons have been insisting for ten years that Barak offered everything (including the kitchen sink) to Arafat and that it was all Arafat’s fault that there was no peace agreement under Clinton. Was this all just a ‘BIG LIE’?

SOURCE (ENTIRE POST) - http://www.heatherrobinson.net/blog/2009/03/23/elliott-abrams-predicts-obama-bibi-faceoff/

 

FULANA

4:53 AM ET

March 27, 2009

You're assuming things

Dr Mearsheimer:
You said that "if there is no 2 state solution, Israel wil end up in a South African-like state and that will mean the end of the Jewish state." Aren't you making a little assumption here? Just because S.A. could not survive doesn't mean the same thing has to happen to Israel. Maybe the white South Africans were too few, maybe they didn't try hard enough, maybe they didn't have a lobby as strong as the Israel lobby, they certainly didn't have world-wide support from the Diaspora community of white South Africans like Israel does, and they didn't have a Holocaust to drum up sympathy. And I don't see an Israeli DeKlerk anywhere on the horizon. I think Netanyahu, Lieberman, et al are fine with apartheid, as long as there is Jewish control of the land. There can be democracy too but for Jews only. They don't see the long-term threat to Israel that you do and they might be right. I for one think they're sitting on a powder keg that will one day blow up into WW 3 but I can't prove it either.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

6:08 AM ET

March 27, 2009

Dr Mearsheimer:You said that

Dr Mearsheimer:
You said that "if there is no 2 state solution, Israel wil end up in a South African-like state and that will mean the end of the Jewish state." Aren't you making a little assumption here? Just because S.A. could not survive doesn't mean the same thing has to happen to Israel. Maybe the white South Africans were too few, maybe they didn't try hard enough, maybe they didn't have a lobby as strong as the Israel lobby, they certainly didn't have world-wide support from the Diaspora community of white South Africans like Israel does, and they didn't have a Holocaust to drum up sympathy.

Dr Mearsheimer is talking according to the theory. According to the theory the only solution is State. And again according to the theory Apartheid is not state. Therefore it ended up in SA and replaced by State.
In ither words on Israel's case Dr Mearsheimer is not deciding based on the SA case that Israel will end as another Repoblic of SA, but according to the theory it will end like that. Once it is according to the theory like that some unnatural interferences (miracle makers) like lobbies cannot change the nature of the "state", the natural laws governs the "state". Unless of course someone comes with a better, more comprehensive theory replacing the theory Dr Mearsheimer uses, by eliminating the concept "state" altogether and perhaps replacing it with more realistic concepts, demonstrating that the new theory is more useful than Dr Mearsheimer's one.

You see those Doctors amd Professors don't open their mouth unless they talk according to a theory.
If you don't believe me ask him;->>

John!
I think you are right Mate! Israel is headed towards one State - Palestine;->>

Grand Sen~or.

 

PLONI ALMONI

8:00 AM ET

March 27, 2009

Mr. Mearsheimer misunderstands our position

First of all, I really appreciate Mr. Mearsheimer's request to hear from the "other side." I know it's hard for many to understand, but the vast majority of Israelis, including very many Likud voters (me, for instance), fervently desire land for peace along the lines of UN Resolution 242. We reluctantly support the occupation purely for national interest - security - and not for ideological reasons. We simply are not convinced that Palestinians are willing to surrender their claims to all of their homeland in exchange for just a part of it. The armed struggle to liberate all of Palestine will continue, we believe, after a peace agreement and after statehood, even if only a minority of Palestinians actively support the struggle.

Speaking for myself, I think you are misreading the whole "apartheid" issue. Morally, you seem to believe that it's significantly more moral ("democratic") for a Jewish majority of 51% to exercise sovereignty against the will of a 49% Arab minority than if those percentages are reversed. I don't understand this reasoning. If it will be immoral when Arabs west of the Jordan reach 51%, then it's no less wrong today. And that includes "democratic" Jewish sovereignty within the State of Israel proper.

Politically, I think you have it exactly backwards. Palestinian statehood would not defuse the "apartheid" rhetoric; it would only intensify it, but in a different direction. After statehood, Palestinian political efforts will become focused on making Israel a "state of all its citizens" rather than a Jewish state. Israel will be called an apartheid state because of the fact that it's a Jewish state, i.e., because it has a 19-century style Staatvolk.

The "apartheid" threat is serious, and I don't want to discount it. But there are a couple factors which will mitigate it over time. First of all, fewer and fewer people remember the days of apartheid South Africa. Second, as the situation for whites in South Africa continues to degenerate, calls to follow the South Africa model will be less persuasive.

To answer your main question, what is our "happy ending"? There is none. The conflict is tragic in the true sense of the word; it's insoluble, even when one understands its causes and its dynamics. The only "solution" right now is conflict management. But there is hope, in the form of military technology. If Israel is able to develop a real missile/rocket defense system, then unilateral withdrawal will suddenly become a real option. We could, in Martin van Creveld's words, "build a wall so high birds can't fly over it."

If this were to happen, then the West Bank settlements would be dismantled in the blink of an eye, just as the Gaza settlements were. Palestinian statehood would become a real option. Statehood wouldn't end the war, but it would end the occupation. That is a goal desired by a large majority of Israelis, who do not want to occupy Palestinian territory. Please believe me that Israelis do not want to send their children into the army to police a hostile population.

Finally, some questions for Mr. Mearsheimer and others who agree with him.

  1. If the demand for a single state west of the Jordan will be good for the Palestinians once they become a majority, why don't they already demand it now? After all, they'd be a majority already, since many Jews would flee before the state is established. Why isn't it already a good idea?
  2. Assuming a two-state solution, will the state of Palestine be willing and able to suppress those who continue the armed struggle to liberate all of Palestine? Even if it takes a civil war to do so? Even if the rejectionists are backed by Iran and/or Syria? (This is assuming that the state is not itself a client state of Iran.)

Once again, I really appreciate the spirit of dialogue in which Mr. Mearsheimer's post was written.

 

GRAND SEN-OR

9:41 AM ET

March 27, 2009

it's insoluble, even when

it's insoluble, even when one understands its causes and its dynamics.

You are right Mate! It is insoluble satisfactorily for the involved parties - as long as you think (?!) in terms of the given concept of "State". To find a solution you have to forget/erase/ignore the concept of "State" and invent more functional concepts based on the socio-politico-economic dynamics involved. But the real problem is you are not alone who is hooked up to the bewitchment of "State" and your ignoring it would really be a hard choice to lead through unless you realise that it is the only choice you have. Don't expect any support from State-bewitched folks other than severe and open enmity, because they will conceive your move as undermining their beloved concept of "State" - a real paradigm shift.
Look! if not you, some people have to and will do it, sooner or later. So, my advice is rather than choosing apartheid to save their "state", better choose no state.

Grand Sen~or.

 

FORLORNEHOPE

10:10 AM ET

March 27, 2009

Technology

Trusting to technology is a bad idea. The Jewish people were warned long ago not to trust in chariots and horses. As for missile defence (see I'm a Brit), my physics teacher, who had worked on the first guided missiles, used to quote "What man can do man can undo." To assume that Israel can defend itself indefinitely against a hostile hinterland is somewhat optimistic. It is the dilemma that Lord Manchester posed to Cromwell. Israel can only lose once.

A study of the history of Outremer shows how this all ends. Fanatics from outside prevented the local Franks doing deals with their neighbours. Eventually the west stopped sending sufficient resources and the neighbours got together, under Saladin and others. Finally the last of the Franks were evacuated from Acre as the citadel collapsed on their rearguard.

 

PETER N W

9:50 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Palestinian rejectionists

"Assuming a two-state solution, will the state of Palestine be willing and able to suppress those who continue the armed struggle to liberate all of Palestine? Even if it takes a civil war to do so? Even if the rejectionists are backed by Iran and/or Syria? (This is assuming that the state is not itself a client state of Iran.)"

This is the security dilemma that Israel faces. Look at what happened to Afghanistan in the 1990's with the Taliban. If that had been taking place in northern Mexico, do you think the reaction of the US would have been different? Until Iran, Syria and the Palestinians are willing to guarantee the territorial soverignty of Israel, it makes no sense for Israel to allow Palestine to become the staging ground for their assault on Israel.

 

BRETT

5:44 AM ET

March 30, 2009

We simply are not convinced

We simply are not convinced that Palestinians are willing to surrender their claims to all of their homeland in exchange for just a part of it.

I don't think you are giving the Palestinians in the West Bank (and particularly Fatah and its supporters) enough credit. Consider, for example, that unrest in the West Bank was pretty limited during the recent Gaza War, for no apparent reason other than that the Palestinian Authority under Abbas did a decent job of policing in its areas of control.

Obviously, that's a whole mile away from having an independent Palestine sitting next door on the high ground (with all of Israel proper in the range of not just rockets but medium-range artillery), but it is a good indicator. If the Israeli government could realistically restrain the growth of the settlements (particularly the disingenuous "natural growth", which often involves the effective creation of new towns), then you might be able to take advantage of that.

The armed struggle to liberate all of Palestine will continue, we believe, after a peace agreement and after statehood, even if only a minority of Palestinians actively support the struggle.

Well, there's not much you can realistically do about that, besides getting a Palestinian state with the support of most of its citizens who can restrain the fanatics and diehards.

Israel has the same type of problem, mind you; while most settlers are there because of subsidized housing, there's always going to be a small group who will never willingly give up their claim to Eretz Yisrael.

After statehood, Palestinian political efforts will become focused on making Israel a "state of all its citizens" rather than a Jewish state. Israel will be called an apartheid state because of the fact that it's a Jewish state, i.e., because it has a 19-century style Staatvolk.

That really depends on where the boundaries end up(meaning, if Lieberman gets his way and all the heavily arab areas of Israel proper end up in Palestine), but keep in mind that they'd probably be alone in this - well, them and the refugees (and not even them, if the US would actually be willing to lead an effort to compensate and re-settle them).

First of all, fewer and fewer people remember the days of apartheid South Africa. Second, as the situation for whites in South Africa continues to degenerate, calls to follow the South Africa model will be less persuasive.

When we are talking about Israel becoming an apartheid state, most of us are referring the situation wherein the Palestinians get concentrated into a number of population "blocs" (most academic scholarship on this calls them "cantons", or, less charitably, "bantustans") divided by Israeli settlements and limited access roads. They would have essentially no control over travel between the enclaves, and no control over water supplies and so forth within the enclaves. It is generally referred to as "apartheid" because of its similarities to apartheid in South Africa, wherein the Afrikaaner regime sought to compress the black population into enclaves called "bantustans", so as to maximize their control and use of the best land, and limit the black South African political power.

Are you saying that you don't think this will happen because Israeli support for it will dry up? It's possible - but the short term security incentives that are creating it (such as the heavy use of checkpoints and security barriers) seem nearly irresistible to a state whose parliamentary coalitions are as unstable as Israel's appear t be, and no one really has the ability to mount a political challenge to the settlement enterprise in the government.

But there is hope, in the form of military technology. If Israel is able to develop a real missile/rocket defense system, then unilateral withdrawal will suddenly become a real option.

Well, sort of - if that laser anti-missile technology finally comes into fruition (and it probably will). But keep in mind that that will only protect you against missiles and some rockets; a Palestine on the West Bank would probably be able to hit Tel Aviv with mid-to-long-range artillery, and ABM can't really do much against that.

If this were to happen, then the West Bank settlements would be dismantled in the blink of an eye, just as the Gaza settlements were.

I don't really agree with that. For one thing, we're talking about the relocation of 300,000+ people here - somebody (probably the US) will have to foot the bill to pay for their re-settlement in Israel proper, like how the US helped Israel settle the Russian immigrants after the Cold War ended. That's not like the Gazan settlements, which only had a few thousand people in them.

But just as importantly, unlike Gaza, the West Bank plays an important role in the nationalist dreams of a vocal minority of your population. They'll have to be dragged out, and it will be very unpleasant - much worse than the Gaza evacuation.

That is a goal desired by a large majority of Israelis, who do not want to occupy Palestinian territory. Please believe me that Israelis do not want to send their children into the army to police a hostile population.

I don't doubt it. That's the real tragedy, I suppose, for those who want only security in a Jewish Israel; even if they have no desire to have the West Bank, the short-term security issues are dragging them towards an outcome they probably do not desire.

It's a bad neighborhood, so to speak politically. Unfortunately, Israel can not detach itself from the Middle East and go sailing off into the Mediterranean, so you are going to have to ultimately deal with these issues.

If the demand for a single state west of the Jordan will be good for the Palestinians once they become a majority, why don't they already demand it now? After all, they'd be a majority already, since many Jews would flee before the state is established. Why isn't it already a good idea?

Good question. Keep in mind that none of the proposals on the table have a majority support among the Palestinians; even the Two-State Solution has only something like 46% in the latest polls.

I suppose it's because the Palestinians are even more divided on what they want in terms of specifics than the Israelis are, and what they agree on - the Right of Return - is impossible politically. I think most of them know that, and are holding out for some type of concession and/or resettlement, and I don't blame them - most of the refugee camps in Lebanon and the like are fairly awful places to be stuck, and their Arab "brothers" want to minimize the impact of them while using them as a political prop.

Then, of course, mix in the usual nationalist rhetoric, unrealistic hopes and fantasies, bitter recriminations and thirst for revenge, and simple confusion.

Assuming a two-state solution, will the state of Palestine be willing and able to suppress those who continue the armed struggle to liberate all of Palestine? Even if it takes a civil war to do so? Even if the rejectionists are backed by Iran and/or Syria? (This is assuming that the state is not itself a client state of Iran.)

I think so. For one thing, they'd have something major to lose, and as I mentioned above, they may be moving towards this in the West Bank - there was noticeably light response in terms of rioting in the West Bank in response to the Gaza War. Which is not to say that the PA government there is popular by any means.

 

RICHARD WITTYQ

11:53 AM ET

March 27, 2009

Why the fixation on Jerusalem

When motivated to do so, BOTH Hamas and Fatah have demonstrated their ability to maintain order, if not fully accompanied by law yet.

The relative quiet (a STARK contrast) of shelling from Gaza during the cease-fire is demonstration to me that Hamas is capable of achieving co-existence.

I agree that its a dangerous unknown if that is their intention at all.

The benefits of the Arab League proposal though overshadow the dangers. Specifically, the Arab League proposed by concensus (with the abstention of Hamas, a critical player, and the absence of Iran, non-Arab Muslim state) that each member would recognize Israel and establish full diplomatic and normalized economic relations IF Israel returned to 67 borders or genuinely consented revisions to those borders.

That agreement would be TREATY, not just a minor temporary assertion. Hamas and Hezbollah (Lebanon also consented) would be isolated and require to reform to a status of co-existence at least.

TREATY is law. In the US, a treaty has more constitutional authority than legislation, more permanent, preference in law.

I don't know if that is the same among the prospective signatories.

The security apparatus of EACH of the signing states would be obliged to pursue peaceful reconciliation to conflicts of whatever nature, rather than militant or opportunist.

Further, if at the green line, the borders would be MORE defensible than the maze. They would be less defensible than an ethnically cleansed river to sea, but if you or anyone is seriously considering that approach, then they have abandoned the primary principles of self-governance that is the basis of Israel and every state. (That is VERY THIN ice, that would splinter quickly.)

 

TESS

1:49 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Thank you. I know

Thank you. I know Mearsheimer did not wish to hear from the Palestinians, and their loved ones. It involves us none the less.

I agree with your point on treaty being law and that it is binding. As to the unknown intentions of Arab actors, I would say looking around on the other side of the fence, it is an accurate interpretation. It is unknown the intent or will of the Arab parties. The lack of leadership skills makes their abilities very unstable, and they are very susceptible to their own self interests over that of their people.

I think, however, that peace would lead on the Palestinian side to a repatriation of capital, which will give stability. Equally, you will have return of Palestinians that have lived in and profited from democracy that will bring those norms with them. And, I don't underestimate the value of hope for a normal life.

There will likely be problems with radical elements. Hamas is not monolithic, so I find it hard to call groups by name. I could easily see the more moderate portion that has done so much of the welfare type services, becoming a religious party over time and dropping their military arm. Economic development should minimize the power of groups opposing peace; people would actually have something they could lose if war were to breakout again. Peace and stability should marginalize the message of those saying it is impossible. I think the same lack of hope that impels the Likud supporter above is the one that impels some Arabs to support more militant groups.

The only danger being that corruption and illegitimate governments may stifle the benefits of a long term peace allowing those groups to keep their valid standings in the society.

Last, if it comes, you have to learn each others history. I cannot tell you how sick I am of the same arguments. With Arabs, too often I have to argue about the Holocaust and pogroms. With Jews, I have to argue the impact of years and years of empires traipsing through and exploiting the people that lived in the Holy Land. If you don't understand one another's history in that personal way; you are never going to sustain peace because you will never understand why the other side is behaving the way they are. IMHO

 

BILLZ

11:58 AM ET

March 27, 2009

comment on Mearsheimer's remark about the Israel lobby freedom

..."The Israel lobby, however, will adamantly defend Israel's right to do whatever it wants in the Occupied Territories". Yes, and anywhere else and as Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert recently stated “that there is no place where Israel cannot operate”
Don’t mess with IDF-you tube clip within today's lead article War in Context, March 26 Paul Woodard-illustrates that point rather clearly check it out_ T shirt bonding is for adolescents.

 

PSYCOWITZ

2:51 PM ET

March 27, 2009

First of all your book "The

First of all your book "The Israel Lobby" was not only riddled with lies and half truths but it also offended me as an Jew. To think that my grandfather served in WWII and almost died only to be accused by you who was never in the military that he has "deul loalties" is a defematio of all the Jews who died serving our country and all those who lived. Also your conspiracy that the Israel lobby is all powerfull is also a wet dream of anti-Semites. Yes they do donate money but doesn't the oil companies? The NRA and AARP both have more members and have donated why more money than all the pro-Israel groups combined! You should be ashamed of your self.

 

STATLER

3:05 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Read The Book

I'm not going to defend it, but you should really read the damn thing before you condemn it. W&M go out of their way to point out that they are not repeating the canard of "dual loyalties" that the IL's activities are legitimate, etc. The central argument is that the IL distorts US strategic thinking. Pointing out that other lobbies exist and give lots of money is not a counterargument.

Thanks for playing.

 

STERNLIGHT

4:56 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Finally!

The central argument is that the IL distorts US strategic thinking

Finally we get to the bottom of M&W. The IL (if such exists) are groups of Americans with a view and a preference. Expressing this view in proportion to their numbers and conviction no more "distorts" US strategic thinking than do privacy advocates "distort" security thinking, or senior advocates "distort" social security thinking. To argue as M&W. Carter. and Freeman do is to say "we" are smarter than "them' and should have "our" way. It is yet another version of "power to the people" meaning 'power to me and my friends.' It is also (take your choice) an extreme example of academic arrogance or hubris.

The "central argument" is at bottom authoritarian at best and fascist at worst.

David Sternlight, Ph.D.
Los Angeles

 

STERNLIGHT

5:13 PM ET

March 27, 2009

And another thing

The "central argument" is at bottom authoritarian at best and fascist at worst.

It is also elitist. Let's remember that the "realist" school of foreign policy is just somebody's opinion. It is not axiomatically provable but rather a syllogism with (in my view) weak assumptions.

Sure, M&W have every right to express their opinion, as do Carter and Freeman. They also have the right to be refuted, challenged by contrary opinion, without crying 'Censorship by the "Lobby"', a mendacious tactic that reminds one of the old aphorism "Patriotism is the last refuge of the scoundrel."

And they have no more right to the corridors of power than do those who disagree with them. They certainly don't have the right to be in a governmental position to distort policy by disproportionately advancing their particular hobby horses.

 

COURTNEYME109

9:39 PM ET

March 29, 2009

Finally?

Good point Dr S.

Middle East historian Michael Oren wrote:

"To prove their argument, the professors don't rely on such banal sources as declassified records, presidential memoirs, or State Department documents. These would unimpeachably show that Arab oil (and not Little Satan) was America's persistent focus in the Middle East — and that presidents have supported Israel for strategic and moral reasons, not political ones.

But, instead of citing archival sources, Walt and Mearsheimer pack their footnotes with newspaper articles and references to the polemical writings of Noam Chomsky and Norman Finkelstein, as well as the unreservedly pro-Arab Washington Report on Middle East Affairs.

The paper's slipshod quality was so evident that the Kennedy School removed its official seal from the treatise"

 

TXEAGLE

1:21 PM ET

April 4, 2009

For "moral" reasons????????????

The US supports the racist apartheid jewish ethno-reliogous enitity for "moral" reasons????Haa ha..ha...you sound like jerry falwell's "moral majority."

what is moral about this absloute jewish evil-besides death and destruction?/

You should be ashamed of your self.

 

STATLER

2:29 PM ET

March 30, 2009

Unpack That

To follow Dr. S's argument, then the fact that a large number of people (powerful and otherwise) supported the Iraq War means that it was the product of clear strategic thinking in line with the national interest, right?

Wrong. (Please note, I am not accusing the IL of having anything to do with that decision, just pointing out that strategic thinking can be distorted)

There are clear strategic imperatives in any international environment whether people recognize them or not. You can call that elitist (and I'd like to see a justification for dropping the f-bomb here) if you want, but it's also true.

 

STERNLIGHT

4:42 AM ET

March 31, 2009

Strategic Thinking

Do not attribute to distorted strategic thinking that which is caused by an intelligence failure. That's the whole point of keeping Freeman out of the official process.

In any case there is a difference between distorted thinking, and someone else distorting your thinking. Expressing one's policy preferences to the thinker does not do so. Lying about the facts and suppressing material information (as the Saudis and Palestinians and, come to that many other Moslems who believe in Al Takkiya do) does distort another's thinking.

 

KEN

3:07 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Tragedy of Mearsheimer - daren't apply his theory to Israel

According my copy of your brilliant TOGPP

Given the difficulty of determining how much power is enough for today and tomorrow, great powers recognize that the best way to ensure their security is to achieve hegemony now, thus eliminating any possibility of a challenge by another great power. Only a misguided state would pass up an opportunity to become hegemon in the system because it thought it already had sufficient power to survive.

Israel's predicament is different? It's not what's meant by a 'great power'?

Well you also say realist logic is applied (successfully one assumes since you mention them) in "Code of the Street" and Hobbs who says - "because he cannot assure the power and means to live well, which he hath present, without the acquisition of more".

Israel is going by the book - your book.Israel would control the eastern border of the Palestinian state. Israel says it might be willing to remove its forces after six years, but there is no guarantee that it would actually do so. And why should it? Why indeed ? What did you think the Palestinians were going to be able to do about all this - Even if the Clinton plan is accepted, the new state is sure to be a source of boundless anger’

Nothing as far as I can see. But you began to write about the lobby and even the 'Lobby'. Whereupon the analysis changed now Israel is listening to the mermaids sing; lurching into a fateful dead-end situation.

 

CLINT

4:45 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Israel is headed to its past cf. Ben-Gurion

The founding fathers of Israel knew full well that they stole the land from Arabs. They also knew the only way to perpetuate this wrong was by having a big military.

Until there is justice, there will be no peace.

This from David Ben-Gurion:

I don't understand your optimism. Why should the Arabs make peace? If I was an Arab leader I would never make terms with Israel. That is natural: we have taken their country. Sure God promised it to us, but what does that matter to them? Our God is not theirs. We come from Israel, but two thousand years ago, and what is that to them? There has been antisemitism, the Nazis, Hitler, Auschwitz, but was that their fault? They only see one thing: we have come here and stolen their country. Why should they accept that? They may perhaps forget in one or two generations' time, but for the moment there is no chance. So, it's simple: we have to stay strong and maintain a powerful army. Our whole policy is there. Otherwise the Arabs will wipe us out.

* As quoted in The Jewish Paradox : A personal memoir (1978) by Nahum Goldmann (translated by Steve Cox), p. 99.

 

STERNLIGHT

5:32 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Polemics and academics

Did anyone notice the prejudicial nature of the photograph leading off this article? Whether it is Meersheim's doing or that of some staffer, it dishonors us all. How about a picture of the dead Israeli women and children, Arab and Jew alike, on the terrorist-bombed Number 17 bus?

As I've said before, the new Israeli government and the central bank are led by a bunch of American-educated (MIT, Stanford) technocrats. If they think an economic development approach might work better than the politician's (and "realists") failed attempts to create two states, why not support their efforts?

 

MICA

6:52 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Wasn't you criticising

Wasn't you criticising elitism just before?

By the way, humanitarian aid in dollars per capita, in Palestinian territories, is already one of the highest in the world. So, as long as the borders are shut down,I don't see how an economic development approach will work its magic.

 

STERNLIGHT

4:08 PM ET

March 31, 2009

Elitism

1. There's nothing elitist about being well-educated, especially with the plethora of scholarships and grants available to the less economically well-endowed. Do not confuse elitism with meritocracy.

2. Security control of borders of an avowedly hostile occupied territory is not the same as preventing economic development, unless by economic development you mean smuggling arms.

 

CLINT

3:30 PM ET

March 28, 2009

alternate photos

can be found here at the Human Rights Watch site:

http://www.hrw.org/en/reports/2009/03/25/rain-fire

 

JOACHIM MARTILLO

6:24 PM ET

March 27, 2009

Jewish History Explains Zionist Future

Dead Palestinian babies and bombed mosques - IDF fashion 2009 contains an important admission in the last few paragraphs but concludes by effectively giving the podium to an Israeli army psychologist to claim that the messages of the T-shirts represent a normal venting of steam instead of a sort of preparatory dehumanization that facilitates atrocities against non-Jews.

Col. (res.) Ron Levy began his military service in the Sayeret Matkal elite commando force before the Six-Day War. He was the IDF's chief psychologist, and headed the army's mental health department in the 1980s.

Levy: "I'm familiar with things of this sort going back 40, 50 years, and each time they take a different form. Psychologically speaking, this is one of the ways in which soldiers project their anger, frustration and violence. It is a certain expression of things, which I call 'below the belt.'"

Do you think this a good way to vent anger?

Levy: "It's safe. But there are also things here that deviate from the norm, and you could say that whoever is creating these things has reached some level of normality. He gives expression to the fact that what is considered abnormal today might no longer be so tomorrow."

Despite Levy's claim, such dehumanization of an oppressed group is common among oppressors because the oppressors must convince themselves there is nothing wrong with brutalizing, robbing, dispossessing or killing their victims.

Levy is disingenuous when he mentions that Zionist racism and barbarism towards Palestinians can be traced back 50 years. The Zionist writer Asher Ginzburg (Ahad haAm) was already describing Jewish Zionist contempt for Arabs and Turks in the 1890s. Not only were Zionist colonists already routinely brutal toward Palestine fellahin at that time period, but Zionist behavior toward Palestinians has never differed in any meaningful way from Jewish mistreatment of Ukrainian peasants in the 16th and 17th centuries.

In Yiddish Civilization, The Rise and Fall of a Forgotten Nation (pp. 235-6), Paul Kriwaczek discusses Jewish role in Ukraine, which was at that time part of Commonwealth Poland.

This Yiddish takeover of the wild and lawless Ukraine's economy could be expected to have involved much exploitation and corrupt abuse of monopoly. Jews tried hard to keep such businesses as the collection of customs dues and taxes to themselves. Surviving customs records from the 1580s are written in a mixture of Yiddish and Hebrew. The historian Shimon Dubnow quotes a resolution passed by the Jewish Lithuanian Council, the Vaad Medina Litoh, ruling body of the Jewish estate: "We have openly seen the great danger deriving from the operation of customs in Gentile hands; for the customs to be in Jewish hands is a pivot on which everything turns, since thereby Jews may exert control."
...
The alliance between ruthless Polish nobles and insecure Yiddish frontiersmen proved dangerous and destructive. The Jews now held a position that nothing in their background or religious law had properly prepared them for. They had been placed in authority over another people, of another social order, another culture and another religion, a people whom the magnates, the Jews' masters, regarded as racially inferior and fair game for callous exploitation. Tragically, shaking off the restraining influence of wiser counsels of the West, the repeated warnings of the rabbis of metropolitan Cracow, Posen and Lublin, the Yiddish businessmen who flocked to the colony came to regard the peasantry in a similar light.

Even though Kriwaczek's passage is hardly subtle in its blame-shifting to Polish magnates, we can be fairly certain that dehumanizing bigotry against non-Jews has been a characteristic of Eastern European Jewish culture for at least 350 years and that Eastern European Zionists brought violent and often murderous prejudices with them when they developed their program to steal Palestine. Americans are only just beginning to see the dark side of Yiddish culture that Palestinians have experienced for over 100 years.

Zionist propaganda defames Arabs, Turks, and Persians when Zionists claim Israel must act brutally Israel because the ME is a dangerous neighborhood.

Eastern European Ashkenazim brought exceptionally vicious Jewish anti-gentile bigotry and violence with them from E. Europe.

Unless the USA abolishes both the Zionist state and the Zionist Virtual Colonial Motherland (Judonia),

  • whose public face is the Israel Lobby, and
  • which has rendered the USA a dependent and intimidated client state,

the future of the USA will be as bleak as that of Poland after 1648 when Commonwealth Poland began its slow collapse into the first modern failed state. (See Fighting the Dystopic Future.)

 

Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.

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