Monday, November 22, 2010 - 5:02 PM
You
know the old line: "you can't be too thin or too rich?" The foreign
policy equivalent would be "you can't be too secure." Because there is no agency or institution
that can protect states from each other, realists generally view security as
the highest aim of states. The need for security encourages governments to remain
watchful about emerging dangers and to avoid squandering resources
unnecessarily on fanciful projects or special indulgences. The need to compete
effectively in the harsh world of international politics imposes a certain
discipline on domestic political quarrels, and encourages competing parties to
limit partisan backbiting for the good of the country. When people say that "politics stops at
the water's edge," that's what they are talking about.
Nonetheless, being too secure has a downside: It allows U.S. politicians to do
and say a lot of stupid things without thinking that they might actually be
putting the country at risk. Case in point: the Republican Party's absurd objections
to the New Start treaty
with Russia, which seem to be based solely on the desire to prevent the Obama
administration from logging even a modest political success.
The New Start treaty is not a major strategic breakthrough, but that's just the
point. It's a modest agreement that will save us some money in the long-term,
reduce strategic uncertainty, make it easier to enlist Russian cooperation on
other issues, and make the United States look a bit less hypocritical when we
try to convince other states to forego nuclear weapons themselves. But none of
that matters to today's Grand Obstructionist Party (GOP) leaders, in sharp
contrast to isolated Republic moderates like Richard Lugar (R-IN) or veteran
officials like Henry Kissinger or James Baker, all of whom support the treaty.
But the taproot of this foolishness isn't just the poisonous know-nothingism of
today's Republican Party. The underlying permissive condition for this behavior
is America's extraordinarily secure international position. Although we are
constantly bombarded with alarmist reports about grave dangers facing the
nation from outside, the United States remains remarkably secure compared with
other states. The U.S. economy is still the world's largest and most diverse, despite
its recent woes, and it is still more than twice as large as the number 2 and
number 3 economic powers (China and Japan). We spend more on national security
than the rest of the world put together, are the only state with global power
projection capabilities, and have the world's most sophisticated nuclear
arsenal. Many of the world's significant military powers are our allies, so our
actual lead is even greater. There are no major powers near to our shores, and
we are insulated from many global problems by two enormous oceanic moats.
The United States does face a modest problem from terrorist groups like Al
Qaeda, but that is due in good part to our own ill-advised meddling in the
Middle East and elsewhere. And assuming it never acquires a nuclear weapon
(which we can prevent by working with others to enhance nuclear security around
the world), Al Qaeda is not an existential threat to our prosperity or way of
life. Even if all their thwarted plots had succeeded--and I'm very glad they
didn't--the damage would pale in comparison to the costs of the Iraq and
Afghanistan wars. Indeed, if history is any guide, international terrorism at
its worst poses less
threat to American life than auto accidents, nut allergies, or falling in a
bathtub.
In short, although perfect security is beyond anyone's grasp, the United States
is as secure as any state could ever expect to be. That's a wonderful thing for
us Americans, but it has at least two negative consequences. First, because the
United States doesn't have to worry very much about protecting its own shores
from a serious military challenge, it is free to run around the world getting
involved in various problems, even when it has lost sight of any underlying strategic
rationale and has no clear idea why it is doing these things. For example, when
you are really secure, very powerful, and have a lot of wealth to draw upon,
you can keep extending
the deadline in places like Afghanistan almost indefinitely, even when the
costs of doing so far outweigh any likely benefits.
The second problem with being too secure is that it allows politicians to
use foreign policy as a partisan political football, and to indulge special
interests and other ideological fixations. When a state faces real dangers -- as
the United States did during World War II or the Cold War -- it has to set
priorities carefully and avoid squandering resources on whims. But when a state
is as secure as America is today, then partisan politics will loom larger and
become nastier. Without a "clear and present danger" to focus the
national mind, presidents find it harder to face down pressure from groups with
strong but focused agendas, whether the issue on the table is defense spending,
Middle East policy, or trade. Moreover, exploiting foreign policy issues in
order to bash the president doesn't seem to place the country in immediate
danger, so members of the opposition can do so without being accused of
compromising national security.
Don't get me wrong: I'm not arguing that the United States would be better off
if we faced a really serious external threat again. On balance, I'd rather be
strong, wealthy, and insulated from major dangers. But there is a real cost to
our present condition: we end up doing a lot of things we shouldn't, and we
don't do a lot of things we should. The end result is that our position in the
world will gradually erode, and then we'll have to start taking this stuff
seriously again.
Perhaps we do not see how insecure we are
I started to enthusiastically agree because after the Soviet Union collapsed, the neo cons did their thing. But then, I remembered Vietnam. Then, I thought about our series of mistakes with Iran that laid the background for our current consternation.
It seems like the need for obtaining more competence is ever present.
We now face a series of crises in the making, if they are not already upon us. The Earth may not be able to absorb more environmental damage and we are facing a looming threat of a shortage of several natural resources, such as oil and water; and we have a difficult economic condition that will, according to important economist, probably last for a long long time. We even face a shortage of phosphorous, an essential fertilizer ingredient.
To alleviate these crisis level problems, we are facing a time that we need high skill levels at dealing with other nations and other kinds of cultures. Even, Robert Gates, Sec. of Defense, says we must learn to work with others more effectively. He says that we cannot continue with what we are doing in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Perhaps, we think we are secure when we really are not secure at all. So, we do not bother to learn how to do what we have to do.
Hi Steve,
I always hear America's military meddling around the globe being justified by a given area/event's "implications for U.S. national security interests." Unfortunately, as a global superpower living in a globalized world, "U.S. national security interests" pretty much extend to every corner of the earth, meaning our government can justify, to itself and its citizenry, unlimited military action across the globe.
Would you agree with me that "U.S. national security interests" are too broadly construed now? I mean, we're fighting in Afghanistan to keep it from becoming another safe haven for al-Qaida. Fine. But is a 300-person al-Qaida really so SIGNIFICANT a threat that it warrants 100,000 of our troops and even more military contractors being sent out to create still more anti-American sentiment? How do you view "U.S. national security interests?"
The neocons let al queda terrorists win
At peak in 9/01 Al Qaeda numbered just a few hundred wahabi terrorists who on 9/11 delivered a coup a main on America. This scared the American elite so much that it became the most succesful coup de main ever in that it got the US elite to make it a self inflicted coup d'etat! Got the US to launch a crusade on the Muslim world that to date has cost $10 trillion and smashed the lives of 45 million people from Iraq to Afghanistan. The former bad the latter good but a dister for US prestige for ever. The coup d'etat probably led to the 2008 recession as ther Fed printed trillion$ to assuage the wahabis's shock.
AQ now numbers less than 100 wahabi terrrorists, self proclaimed martyrs who welcom death in battle. They must be laughing away at the damage they have got the American elite to inflict on its the public. And on the Europeans. All they have to do is say "Al Qaeda" and watch the Beltway scare itself and the country like hell. Periodically pull a stunt that costs a few $thousands and watch the American paranoia take off.
The elites' self delusion further manifests in the lie "we have to be in Afghanistan to stop Al Qaeda taking over that country". Yea. Usual example of the American elites ignorance of the world. A few hundred Arabs are not capable of taking over a country of 4 nations, all top notch fighters who defeated the Red Army, a feat that NATO could not do, have no intention of letting these foreigners take over anything. Especially the Tajiks, Hazara and Uzbek who detest the Pushtoon Talebs as do most Pushtooon. The Talebs are minority among the Pushtoon who are going through a civil war.
Most interesting is the performance of the US military in Afghanistan. Nine years and being whipped by the Talebs! What the hell does the brass learn in West Point? How to kick ass, lick ass and plot to get the plummest job in the military industrial complex upon retirement. Fighting skills? Just terror bombing and killing anybody and everybody. Like the NAZI waffen SS. And why not? the American public wants to be defended and couldn't care less how the Afghan or Irakis are conquered. After all they hate our freedom, no?
Our society is paranoid. Our public worries about rare events that are almost never very destructive like terrorism while completely ignoring the far more likely and serious results of the climate change we are contributing to. We throw away money playing the lottery, but are too lazy and ignorant to eat right and exercise so we have a healthier life. Maybe the Chinese will do better when they rise to preeminence.
Based on my personal observations...
probably not. From all indications the Chinese middle class is as vapid and brainless as we are.
Ask any mainland Chinese what they dislike and they will respond that they hate the Nationalists and the Japanese. Its mindless parroting of government propaganda, of course, but no more mindless than the al-Qaeda mythologising that America engages in.
When are you going to talk about Mexico?
Isn't Mexico our biggest threat right now? Not militarily, of course. Maybe biggest opportunity makes more sense. But still, why doesn't Mexico get any play on this blog?
whenever US stop buying drugs, other countries will stop selling them to this country. simple like that.
whenever it happens, don't worry: i'm sure mexico cartels and those who profit on drugs will find another way to deal with their sad historical heritage, just like it happened after alcohol got legalized, back in the 30's...
Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.
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