Posted By Stephen M. Walt Share

I'm off on my summer vacation tomorrow, and I'm hoping to spend most of my time away from blogging. Not that I don't find this enjoyable and even a bit addictive, but pounding out prose on a daily basis is also draining and it's time to recharge my batteries and replenish the intellectual larder. I'm going to be working on an essay for the Social Science Research Council on "international relations and the public sphere" while I'm at the beach, but mostly I'm hoping to do a lot of reading and kayaking and resting. I will be taking my laptop and MyFI connection along, but mostly I intend to stay off the grid.

While I'm gone (or at least less active), here are a few questions I'll be pondering. Feel free to debate them among yourselves.

1. What's the endgame in Libya? I think Qaddafi's removal is inevitable, but I haven't heard much about what comes after. Given that our stated motivation was humanitarian, doesn't NATO have a responsibility to ensure a benevolent aftermath? And how much will that cost?

2. What does the rest of the world think of Michele Bachmann? When someone with her manifold deficiencies gets taken seriously as a presidential possibility, what message does it send to the rest of the world about the pathologies of the American political system?

3. Why is the United States working so hard to stymie the latest effort to send a symbolic relief flotilla to Gaza? (Of course, you know the real answer). Put differently, why is it in the U.S. national interest to keep Gazans under a punishing blockade? Or to be even more precise: How does it make Americans safer or more prosperous or more influential around the world to be colluding in the collective punishment of the Gazan population? Letting the flotilla sail would be a smarter move for the United States and Israel alike, as Bradley Burston of Haaretz explains here.

4. It looks like another deal may let Greece escape default, but for how much longer? And what then? All this makes me wish I knew a lot more about international banking and finance, except for the fact that the people who DO know about this area have been wrong a lot of the time too.

5. What new inconvenience will airlines and homeland security paranoids come up with to make international travel even less pleasant? I paid almost 3 euros for a single cup of coffee on one flight (and it wasn't a "budget" airline), stood in the usual mind-numbing security lines, and got full-body scanned at three different airports. And this was a good trip. (On the positive side, flying back home in economy class on British Airways wasn't half-bad, and they deserve full points for making their full entertainment package available for those of us traveling on cheap tickets).

6. If you put Barack Obama on truth serum, what would he say? What would he list as his biggest achievements, his greatest disappointments; and how would this most thoughtful of presidents discuss the policy problems that have dominated his presidency? And I also wonder what would happen if he showed up at a press conference and just blurted out what he really thought about Iran, Israel-Palestine, China, Afghanistan, the EU, the GOP, WikiLeaks, the war on terror, the financial sector, or the overall state of the planet.

OK, so this is not the most provocative or probing set of questions. All the more reason for me to drop off the grid for a week or so and let my brain wander down some unfamiliar byways. I suspect I won't be able to resist the urge to chime in occasionally, but regular blogging will resume around July 10. In the interim, may you live in not-so-interesting times.

VANDERLEI ALMEIDA/AFP/Getty Images

EXPLORE:ACADEMIA
 

ELLERVEIRA

7:54 PM ET

June 28, 2011

Homeland security paranoids

A couple of Portuguese friends recently came to visit me, flying from Lisbon to Newark for the first leg of their journey. They had done everything required, electronic ticketing, etc, etc, etc. So when they got to Newark, what happened? One of the two was told that his fingerprints were "smudgy" and therefore suspicious. He was put into a "holding" room with other dubious characters and made to wait until his next flight out had left. So he missed his flight. Then...the guy who found his fingerprints suspicious returned to say that there was no problem; the machine had malfunctioned. So he had to rebook his flight out and spend overnight in New York. No disaster but vastly annoying. I wonder if there has ever been a study done of how many potential tourists (and their money) the US loses every year due to our obnoxious Homeland Security checks. A rather large number I would guess.

 

DAVID IN DC

4:35 PM ET

July 5, 2011

Steve's Israel-bashing agitprop

Put differently, why is it in the U.S. national interest to keep Gazans under a punishing blockade?...

...Or to be even more precise: How does it make Americans safer or more prosperous or more influential around the world to be colluding in the collective punishment of the Gazan population?

Israel has offered the use of its ports to every flotilla, so they can inspect the cargo and then pass it through land crossings to Gaza. Point being, our interest is that Hamas not have unfettered access to weapons, not to keep the goods from getting into Gaza.

To call Israel's insistence that they inspect the cargo a "punishing blockade" or "collective punishment" is crude propaganda. I know, big shocker considering the source.

 

SABABA03

9:55 PM ET

June 28, 2011

AIPAC sends its best wishes.

They have sent their best wishes to you Professor.

Hopefully the open spaces, the fresh air, and the ample time, will enable you to view the real situation in the ME in more pragmatic and realistic view.

Amid all the hard work which you and your colleague Mersheimer have spent trying to discredit them, who can blame them for wishing you Bon Voyage.

 

JACOB BLUES

7:11 PM ET

June 29, 2011

For a supposed foreign policy expert Walt seems to miss more

of the basics than most.

Why does Israel have a blockade around Gaza? Has the professor really blanked on recent history?

Navy intercepts ship with Iranian arms bound for Hamas
Jerusalem Post
By YAAKOV KATZ
03/15/2011 12:25

Cargo vessel flying Liberian flag found with Chinese-made anti-ship missiles, as well as instruction manuals in Farsi.

The Israel Navy seized a cargo vessel early Tuesday morning in the Mediterranean Sea that was carrying advanced weaponry, including anti-ship missiles that could alter the balance of power in the region.

Israel believes the weaponry originated in Iran and was destined for Hamas and other terrorist groups in the Gaza Strip.

In an operation called “Iron Law,” Israeli navy missile boats approached the Victoria cargo ship late Monday night as it passed some 320 km. off Israel’s coast. One of the vessels reached the captain on the radio and asked for permission to board.

Once he gave permission and began lowering a ladder, a number of speedboats carrying several teams of commandos from Flotilla 13 – known as the Shayetet – closed in.

The commandos did not encounter resistance when boarding the ship and were given the cargo certificates indicating that 39 containers had been loaded in the Syrian port of Latakia.

Two weeks earlier, a pair of Iranian warships had docked at the same port – possibly carrying weapons. Four of the containers, found with heavy locks, were slated to be unloaded in the port of Alexandria in Egypt.

The ship left Latakia and sailed to the port of Mersin in Turkey – likely a ploy meant to deflect attention from the ship and its cargo. The IDF stressed that it believed that neither Egypt nor Turkey was involved in the arms shipment.

According to the certificates, the containers were supposed to be carrying cotton and lentils, but when the commandos pulled out the first row of sacks they found crates of mortar shells and advanced anti-ship missiles.

The total shipment was estimated to weigh about 50 tons – similar to the cache discovered aboard the Karine A arms ship stopped by the navy in 2002.

The deputy commander of the navy, V.- Adm. Rani Ben-Yehuda, said the commandos had found two C-704 anti-ship missiles inside one of the containers they inspected aboard the Victoria, which was flying a Liberian flag.

The ship is owned by a German company, but was being operated by a French company.

The Foreign Ministry notified all three countries of the seizure.

According to Ben-Yehuda, the Chinesemade anti-ship missiles could have threatened Israeli sea-based strategic installations “like gas drilling stations” as well as naval vessels, and even the Ashdod Port.

“This shipment was of strategic importance,” he said.

Ben-Yehuda added he did not know if the Iranian ships brought the weaponry that was loaded onto the Victoria, but that the timing raised serious questions. “This needs to be considered,” he said.

The C-704 has a range of 35 km. and carries a warhead with 130 kg. of explosives.

The commandos found booklets explaining how to use the missile in Farsi – further proof that the missiles originated in Iran.

In addition to the anti-ship missiles, the commandos also discovered 60-mm. and 120-mm. mortar shells.

The missiles use advanced radar to acquire their targets. In 2006, a Chinese-made C- 802 missile struck the INS Hanit off the coast of Beirut, killing four Israeli sailors.

“The missile is made in China and it is in the possession of the Iranians, and this adds to suspicions that it came from Iran,” Ben- Yehuda said. “This missile can threaten strategic installations near the coast and navy vessels that operate at sea.”

The IDF released pictures showing mortar shells inside crates, as well as the C-704 missiles with the word “Nasr” written on them.

Nasr is what Iran calls the missile.

In November 2009, the Israel Navy seized the Francop cargo ship, which was carrying 500 tons of weaponry from Iran to Hezbollah in Lebanon – including Katyusha rockets and grenades.

At the time, IDF officers said the amount was enough to sustain Hezbollah for several weeks of war.

 

GAHGEER

9:47 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Jacob's rabbit and the stale news

The Israeli media is "ramping up" its campaign of falsification against the flotilla these days:

"On Tuesday, Israeli newspapers were filled with reports from unnamed military officials, charging that sacks of chemicals, including sulfuric acid, had been loaded onto flotilla vessels with the aim of using the materials against Israeli soldiers." (http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/israel-ramps-up-campaign-against-gaza-aid-flotilla/2011/06/28/AG59dbpH_story.html)

But it seems that the Israeli PR machine and its subsidiaries in the USA are so bad at it they should stop. Read Alex Fishman's in Israeli paper Yediot Aharonot today, 29 June, who said all the IDF's lies about the flotilla were part of many assumptions:

"But when a working assumption of that sort is turned into a fact by the Israeli public relations machine that is liable to prove to be a boomerang that couldc ast Israel as unreliable." (http://www.scribd.com/doc/58955603/Yediot-Jun29-11-Alex-Fishman-IDF-Lied-About-Flotilla)

The massive blunders of the Isareli government, including the involvement in a YouTube hoax by one of its PR agents (http://is.gd/MGpYAM), make you jump to the question of Why on earth didn't Israel stick to what it is good at, i.e the sabotage of the rest of the flotilla they way it damaged one of them the other day(http://is.gd/4G5iX3)???

“The State of Israel, with all its army, security services and everything it has is going against a bunch of 20 non-governmental organizations,” Feiler added. “Really, it’s ridiculous.”

 

JACOB BLUES

10:07 PM ET

June 29, 2011

So you're saying what Ghageer? That the missiles were imaginary

Really?

Or that HAMAS doesn't use its rockets to attack Israeli civilians like the school bus HAMAS attacked with a laser-guided anti-tank missile?

Or that last year's flotilla was peaceful? We saw the videos of the Marvi Mammara last year. Steel pipes, knives, IDF soldiers getting thrown overboard and video declarations by the passengers in hopes of becomming Shaheeds.

Yeah, real peaceful. So no, I wouldn't put it past them to take chemicals on board this year.

 

GAHGEER

7:55 AM ET

June 30, 2011

No, Jacob, it's not me saying that

It is Israeli commentators, politicians and activists (there is a bunch of Israeli ones on this flotilla).

It's the Israeli defence minister, who I assume gets his information from his security and intelligence chiefs, not from the editorials of Commentary magazine and the baptists who want Jesus back again to cleanse the holy land of Jews.

It is hilarious to see how some pro-Israel robots go the extra mile to prove their loyalty but find themselves isolated in their childish stubbornness and lack of information.

"[Israeli Defence Minister Ehud]"Barak told Channel 2 news on Wednesday night that while he has directed the Israel Defense Forces to stop the flotilla by force, if necessary, he believed that while pockets of resistance were possible the flotilla participants this year would be less violent than last year's."

(http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/barak-plays-down-israeli-worries-about-gaza-flotilla-1.370377)

 

DR_TAD

1:55 AM ET

June 29, 2011

Best analysis of the Eurozone crisis

Have a great vacation... here's some potential reading for you.

By far the best heterodox economic analysis of the Greek (and EU) debt crises is from this bunch at SOAS in London:

http://www.researchonmoneyandfinance.org/

Scroll down the page to see their two reports and other related materials. They are arguing for debtor-led default and Euro exit as the essential first step for ordinary Greek people.

 

MUSE

10:04 AM ET

June 29, 2011

a humanitarian aid flotilla to the Gaza Strip

Organizers of a humanitarian aid flotilla to the Gaza Strip say Israel has attempted to stop them by sabotaging the convoy.

The flotilla members said a joint Greek, Swedish and Norwegian boat was found sabotaged with serious damage to its propeller, aljazeera TV correspondent reported on Tuesday.

The flotilla activists suspect that Israeli agents were responsible for the damage.

On Monday, the international coalition organizing the Freedom Flotilla II held a press conference in Athens with representatives from all of the boats. The US was represented by Ann Wright, a former State Department official, and Alice Walker, an African-American author.

“We have learned that an Israeli law center financed by an American conservative, religious group, headed by John Hagee, is funding the attack on the Gaza flotilla. We call on the Greek government to let us sail,” Wright said.

The Israeli military attacked the Freedom Flotilla in international waters in the Mediterranean Sea on May 31, 2010, killing nine Turkish nationals aboard the Turkish-flagged MV Mavi Marmara and injuring about 50 other activists that were part of the team on the six-ship convoy.

The activists dismissed Israel's demands that any aid for Gaza be delivered through its crossing points and inspected by its military. The flotilla organizers have accepted that teams representing the United Nations or the European Union check the cargo.

Activists on a Canadian boat to Gaza have been discussing how to deal with an attack by the Israeli military in international waters.

David Heap of the Canadian boat said the members of the flotilla are prepared to face threats “non-violently with determination.”

Our correspondent says the flotilla will be delayed for at least a few days as repairs are carried out and inspections are completed.

However, the passengers remain upbeat and believe the momentum is still on their side. The freedom flotilla could be meeting in the international waters of the Mediterranean Sea by the weekend.

 

KERPIN

1:43 PM ET

June 29, 2011

The non-peaceful intentions of the flotilla

"The activists dismissed Israel's demands that any aid for Gaza be delivered through its crossing points and inspected by its military."
So they want Israel to allow any cargo into Gaza, which would mean thousands more rockets on Israeli civilians. What sane government would allow this?

 

ELLERVEIRA

2:44 PM ET

June 29, 2011

The Gaza flotilla

The main point is quite clear, I think. That Israel has shoved its hated inferiors into a concentration camp like area where it hopes to abuse and crush them and their spirit by cutting off food and supplies, etc., etc., to them at its whim. Like most oppressive entities, it pretends it is the victim, not those whom it is in fact victimizing. PS The pain inflicted by Palestinians on Israelis is trivial (virtually nothing) compared to what Israel has inflicted upon them.

 

JACOB BLUES

7:17 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Concentration Camp like area?!?

Sigh, American map skills have truly atrophied.

You do realize that Gaza is roughly 2x the size of Manhattan with a roughly equal population?

And the population growth in Gaza, doesn't come from Palestinians being shoved on to this coastal zone, but from new births, and an extention of Palestinians' life-spans.

Hardly what one would call a 'Concentration Camp' like experience, except by those who are either ignorant or just a plain Jew hater.

 

ELLERVEIRA

8:16 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Gaza

http://www.alternet.org/world/120197/gaza_is_a_concentration_camp__/

Oh please. You seem unaware that Gaza does not have skyscrapers nor one tiny sliver of the wealth of Manhattan. Such a comparison is well.....stupid. And, please, let's get over equating criticism of Israel with hating Jews. That would be like criticism of the Nazi regime=hatred of Germans. Grow up, please.

 

JACOB BLUES

10:09 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Oh I'm sorry Eller, I didn't realize that it was an absence of

wealth that created a concentration camp.

Silly me. I guess your definition and the rest of the world's of what actually occurs in a concentration camp differs.

 

SCOTTINDALLAS

1:01 AM ET

June 30, 2011

jake

So, you want to sterilize them too? My, oh my, how you seek your final solutions. Boy, you don't that Teutonic efficiency everywhere.

 

JACOB BLUES

1:09 PM ET

June 30, 2011

Ah Scott, putting words in my mouth doesn't make me the hater

No Scott, I've never called for the sterilization of anyone. Don't put your hateful fantasies in my mind. It doesn't work.

No, my point to Eller, was that Gaza, is not a concentration sized entity as he claimed, noting that the land mass is 2x the area of Manhattan, which has a roughly equal population, and yet not only survives, but thrives.

Eller went on to claim that Gaza was still a concentration camp, because unlike New York City, Gaza was poor.

Unfortunately, for most intelligent people, poverty doesn't make a concentration camp. Specifically, it doesn't make Gaza a Nazi concentration camp, which has been repeatedly alluded to.

People were sent to concentration camps by the Nazi's to die, or more specifically, to be tortured, starved, and murdered.

None of that has occurred in Gaza. More than that, Gaza has actually grown in terms of population. By contrast, the Nazi's murdered over 1.0 million Jewish children during their reign.

But Gazans do remain in poverty. To that end, one must ask what is occuring in Gaza that creates such a situation. On the one hand, the poverty in Gaza is not terrible, especially when compared to the Arab states of the Middle East. But obviously there are other restrictions on Gaza's economy, and that is the war that HAMAS continues to fight.

The 'solution' to that, is not genocide as you would fantasize about, but peace. This decision, to end their war, and come to the negotiating table, rests with HAMAS' leadership. To date, they continue to reject such a move.

If that's the case, then the poverty of Gazans, rests with its own politicial leadership.

 

ELLERVEIRA

8:45 PM ET

June 30, 2011

Gaza

The world is not fooled by your silly indeed specious Zionist arguments to exonerate Israel from its brutal treatment of the Palestinians. So much of what you say is simply not true that it would be beyond tedious to attempt to refute you point by point. Let it suffice to note that the world doesn't agree with the Zionist position at all. And for good reason since the Zionist position cannot be defended. So go on with your Zionist fantasies; just know that the world hates Israel with a passion, just as most of the world hated the Nazis.

 

ELLERVEIRA

8:53 PM ET

June 30, 2011

Life in Gaza

http://www.ifamericansknew.org/cur_sit/gaza_brutality.html

Perhaps our Zionist friends here can find some evidence of UN praise for Israel's treatment of the Palestinians. I'd be happy to see it.

 

THEANTICLAUS

9:28 PM ET

July 4, 2011

There is no crisis in Gaza...more Arab and Walt propaganda

Walt relies on his own belief, when in fact there is no crisis in Gaza. Goods are plentiful. According to data provided by Mohammed Skaik, the Trade Policy Specialist with PalTrade, who is responsible for all technical issues surrounding Gaza imports and export:

"During the last export season (Nov 2010 to May 2011), a total of 290 truckloads, including 210 truckloads (397 tons) of strawberry, 74 truckloads (10,668,520 stems) of cut-flower, 03 truckloads (06 tons) of sweet pepper and 03 truckload of cherry tomato (6.7 tons) were exported via the Kerem Shalom crossing. (Weekly Analysis-Gaza Crossing Data from 19-25 June 2011)."

If the Pals stopped trying to import weapons to kill Jews, then there would be no need for the rather mild security restructions now in place. We in the USA or any other sane country would do the same thing if it was Canada raining missiles down on us! Actually, we'd take far harsher action...just ask the Iraqis or Afghans. You would think that after the Israelis have confiscated three ships so far loaded with Iranian and Syrian arms the world would wake up...but there is no end to the world's willful blindness when it comes to the true intentions of the jihadis.

 

THEANTICLAUS

9:33 PM ET

July 4, 2011

Actually, much of the world loved the Nazis...

...and many more dealt with them. Apparently their stink did not get in the way of business. You need to educate yourself before spewin unsupported statements. For instance, most of Europe, including the Brits and France, supported Hitler at first, as a bulwark against communism. So did the USA. During the war, the good old Swedes sold the Nazis arms, including their wonderful AA guns. Twenty thousand Norwegians volunteered to join the Nazis after their PM Quisling9Yeah, that guy) allied with the Nazis. Many Latin American countries, such as Argentina and Parguay were allied with Germany, only declaring war on Germany (in the ultimate hypocritical act) in the final days of the war to gain political captial with the victorious Allies. The list goes on and on. If you were around then I am sure would also be a supporter of Nazi Germany, either due to being a Quisling or a True Believer!

 

SCOTTINDALLAS

12:53 PM ET

July 5, 2011

Nazis

The Nazis had more allies than Israel does.

 

SCOTTINDALLAS

2:52 PM ET

June 29, 2011

1. Libya--the US doesn't care

1. Libya--the US doesn't care what the endgame is. Not that we are managing this, it's, as I said from the start an Anglo-French affair. But, as to the fate of Khadaffy, I think we might just 'soon see the country split. That will achieve the goal. You DID catch the story that Khadaffy had started to r.ankle the oil companies? His demands were growing and it got to be easier to empower a grateful opposition than to deal with him. You ask about the aftermath and the Libyans themselves--your answer is you don't bomb people you give a crap about. We don't resolve domestic hostage situations with bombs, but snipers--we didn't care enough to do it cleanly, it would have been too obvious. Yes, we helped instigate this with CIA and Black ops in Benghazi. Why are you even pretending the humanitarian angle is anything but a pretense. Please, stop making us all dumber.

2. Bachmann--interesting that since she's been an official candidate she hasn't said the really stupid stuff she had. She is prettier to me than Palin, and she will test the prom queen angle of elections, that we elect the Ken and Barbies, of the world. Now, women don't win in that equation, since hot women are stupid (according to the type) Bachmann isn't stupid, though the policies she embraces are. I don't think she will be able to win, sexism is stronger than racism. (more Blacks would like to see a Black candidate win, not all women would want to see a woman win.) (pls forgive the racial, sexist generalizations, I think they'd statistically bear out, not that I "believe" in these tropes.)

3. US Gaza--I think Maya Angelou's recent pronouncements might carry more influence than your book. But, the world is turning on this issue, and more and more Americans are waking up to it. I think this is yet another issue that will flip in a remarkably short time. Like Gay Marriage, our support of Israeli Apartheid will change over the next decade--it will be led by Jewish Democrats, and an awareness that we have more Muslims in this country than Jews by then.

4. Greece--as Nouriel Roubini, PIMCO predicted, Greece will default. It won't matter as Greece is a wee bit of the EU. All the PIGS are less than 20% of the EU. Well, 20% of the US is in trouble too. But, we are still the prettiest girl at the dance. The collapse of Greece and another PIG or two might force regulation of derivatives. And, it will certainly bring some fret-some moments, but the math doesn't make justify the concern. There is real risk in the Naked Short Derivitives, but they, like insurance on your neighbor's house should be voided and the principle returned. We should have done that here. This really gets to our own economy and whether we have the force of will to fix our own speculation problems.

5. $3 coffee? Beats the $6 coffee in Frankfurt airport. This really pains my poor ass, as I am only over there to go to Algeria (to see the in-laws) In Algeria they have the finest coffee anywhere, cafe press as fine as starbucks for about 25c a cup. So, paying much anything for coffee pains. Further point on the TSA, why does the gov't do what the airlines have every incentive to do. In a time of budget challenges, why are we giving this free subsidy. Gov't is a great intermediary, a disinterested party when conflicts of interest or lack of interest are a problem. But, the airlines have EVERY incentive to protect their planes, let us shop their security as yet another feature.

6. Obama on truth serum? "I'm just a self promoter." What has he ever fiercely advocated for? Where has he put his neck on the line, where there was personal cost to him? ....... What sacrifice has he taken?.......

Have fun on the water.

 

NATET

8:12 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Ah

I am pretty sure Greece's problem is less about derivities (like the US financial crisis), "Naked Short" (I am pretty sure you misued that term somewhat, though you got the jist of what it meant), than straight up government bonds and the Greek inability to pay up on its own as well as its future ability to borrow at reasonable intrest rates off the bond market.

Professor, may I suggest you audit an introductory course on International Economics from your local buisness school. It will probably give you enough info to be dangerous.

 

SCOTTINDALLAS

1:05 AM ET

June 30, 2011

its the short sellers with no liabilities--naked shorts

It's the derivatives written on the Greek debt that is the problem, the actual debt is minuscule relative to the EU, even all the PIGS combined aren't anything the EU couldn't absorb. That said, it could cause defections and destruction of the common currency

 

JACOB BLUES

7:34 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Walt's list of ponderables show cases a mind devoid of truly

serious issues.

1. Libya? Really? This is Walt's number one concern coming from an American focused so-called realist? This is the most serious foreign policy concern?

2. Michelle Bachman? Why? Eighteen months before the elections, a year before the primaries, hell, we haven't even had the Iowa caucus yet and Walt's projecting foreign policy concerns over a candidate in what's a wide open field of challengers?

3. Gaza. Once again Walt highlights his Jew hating credentials. In a world where Syria's Bashar Assad has ratcheted up a four-digit body count in the first quarter of the year, and has a five-digit count of citizens in prisons where Syrians are being tortured to death and children's bodies are being mutilated, where a similar count is fleeing the border to Turkey, the Gaza flotilla is what's on his mind, and this doesn't even bring up the issue of a potential civil war in Sudan. Of course, it wouldn't be a Walt blog with out his referencing his modern day rehash of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion.

4. Clocking in only at #4, does Walt even bring up the pending Greek national default. Worse, given that this has been a slow moving train-wreck, with real and serious implications for the global financial and political system (note the riots that have again broken out in Greece over the pending austerity measures), Walt admits not only his ignorance on the subject, this from a chaired professor at Harvard, but he lays the claim that he hasn't bothered to do any of the basic research, despite being a phone call away from other supposedly world class professors of finance and economics in the Harvard phone directory. That's just lazy. But then again, if Walt was actually taking the time to learn how serious the financial issues in Greece are, he wouldn't have time to do more of his Jew bashing.

5. Air travel. Ah, I can see how this issue keeps foreign policy wonks awake at night.

6. Obama? The president clocks in at #6, and of course, not in terms of decisions, but what he 'really thinks'.

What Does Walt avoid adressing?

A. China,

B. The state of the US budget talks and the implications of a failure to manage our government debt.

C. Pakistan. Between nukes, Osama bin-Laden, other Pakistani extremists, ISI, and its relations with India, one wonders how this country didn't even get an honorable mention in the last bucket.

D. Japan - still digging out from the Tsunami and ongoing nuclear catastrophe.

E. Saudi Arabia and the Saud family's situation amid the growing unrest in the Arab world, and rising competition with Iran.

F. Inflation - Food prices are surging, croplands and fresh water supplies are shrinking, and hungry people are getting pissed off.

But hey, why focus on events that are more likely to have a material impact on the world when you can tee off on Jews in the US and in Israel.

 

NATET

9:24 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Oh come on. Let Acedemics

Oh come on. Let Acedemics have their areas of intrest/hobby horses.

 

ELLERVEIRA

8:25 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Gaza

Per capita income Israel: $29.800
Per capita income Gaza: $2,900

No difference at all, right? Fact is the world detests Israel and its treatment of Palestinians. That is why in polls Israel repeatedly comes out as the most hated nation in the world. I have no doubt the Nazis also claimed criticism of their regime was sheer "hatred" for no good reason, reflecting racial or ethnic hatred of all Germans. Etc, etc. These silly defenses of Israel hardly merit a response. The world has made its viewpoint clear. Crystal clear.

 

NATET

9:29 PM ET

June 29, 2011

The Jewish Settlements in

The Jewish Settlements in Gaza were supposedly economically productive before they were turned over to the PA. What have the Palistinians done with them since they got them?

 

JACOB BLUES

10:01 PM ET

June 29, 2011

Ah, Gross Domestic Product, let's dig in

I'll work on the per-capita basis that Ellerveira does to make it easier. Numbers are from the World Bank, fiscal 2009 numbers.

Gaza: $2,900
1. Egypt: $2,270
2. Jordan: $4,216
3. Syria: $2,474
4. Yemen: $1,118
5. Sudan: $1,194
6. Tunisia: $3,792
7. Algeria: $4,029
8. Morocco:$2,811
9. Iraq: $2,090
10. Iran: $4,540

On the relatively high-end, you have
11. Libya: $9,714
12. Lebanon: $8,175

Now, for the oil-producing Gulf states you have as follows:

13. Saudia Arabia: $14,799
14. Oman: $16,207
15. Bahrain $26,021
16. UAE $50,070
17. Kuwait: $58,272, though that figure is for fiscal 2008
18. Qatar: $69,754

Essentially Eller, Gaza falls in the normal range for the majority of Arab-League states, the exceptions as we can clearly see, are the oil-producing gulf states, and even here, oil wealth is hoarded by the ruling class, so there may be a swing on actual dollars in real terms.

Fact is, there is something called anti-Semitism, that is a long-held hatred in the world, something that is so virulent, you don't even need to have Jews around to experience it. The Nazis by contrast, never faced such ethnic hatred as the Jews have, indeed, we were on the receiving end of the Nazi's hatred. Nice of you though, to try to compare Israel today, with the real genocidal attrocities of the Nazis. Totally false, but nice nevertheless.

Of course, such hatred has found a home in the Arab and Muslim world, as seen in the treatment of Jews there. I don't recall ever reading about how Germans slaughtered innocent non-German children to use their blood to bake pastries. I did see such claims made by a Saudi professor a few years ago. His libel was published in a two-part news story in the Saudi national press. I guess that's what passes for silly with you.

 

SCOTTINDALLAS

1:14 AM ET

June 30, 2011

settlements productive?

the ability to move goods across the border would be pretty important relative to trade, don't cha think?

 

SCOTTINDALLAS

2:12 AM ET

June 30, 2011

settlements productive?

the ability to move goods across the border would be pretty important relative to trade, don't cha think?

 

SUHAILI

4:02 PM ET

June 30, 2011

what did they hand over

they bulldozed everything before they left.

 

ELLERVEIRA

8:48 PM ET

June 30, 2011

Gaza

As I noted before the world doesn't buy the Zionist arguments at all. Of course they are popular with Zionists and their mignons. The world hates Israel for its behavior. Are you unaware of that?

 

TOIVOS

2:26 AM ET

July 1, 2011

Natet on the Jewish settlements in Gaza

They had a productive green house vegetable industry. But it relied on subsidized water. After Israel dismantled those settlements that water source was cut off. So of course, the Palestinians couldn't continue those facilities. Good propaganda point if one ignores the underlying water issue. The fact is that Israel abandoned those settlements because they cost more than they were worth.

 

TOIVOS

2:26 AM ET

July 1, 2011

Natet on the Jewish settlements in Gaza

They had a productive green house vegetable industry. But it relied on subsidized water. After Israel dismantled those settlements that water source was cut off. So of course, the Palestinians couldn't continue those facilities. Good propaganda point if one ignores the underlying water issue. The fact is that Israel abandoned those settlements because they cost more than they were worth.

 

MUSE

9:35 PM ET

June 29, 2011

The cost of war

When President Barack Obama cited cost as a reason to bring troops home from Afghanistan, he referred to a $1 trillion price tag for America's wars.

Major Market IndicesStaggering as it is, that figure grossly underestimates the total cost of wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan to the U.S. Treasury and ignores more imposing costs yet to come, according to a study released on Wednesday.

The final bill will run at least $3.7 trillion and could reach as high as $4.4 trillion, according to the research project "Costs of War" by Brown University's Watson Institute for International Studies. (http://www.costsofwar.org)

In the 10 years since U.S. troops went into Afghanistan to root out the al Qaeda leaders behind the September 11, 2001, attacks, spending on the conflicts totaled $2.3 trillion to $2.7 trillion.

Those numbers will continue to soar when considering often overlooked costs such as long-term obligations to wounded veterans and projected war spending from 2012 through 2020. The estimates do not include at least $1 trillion more in interest payments coming due and many billions more in expenses that cannot be counted, according to the study.

The White House says the total amount appropriated for war-related activities of the Department of Defense, intelligence and State Department since 2001 is about $1.3 trillion, and that would rise to nearly $1.4 trillion in 2012.

Researchers with the Watson Institute say that type of accounting is common but too narrow to measure the real costs.

In human terms, 224,000 to 258,000 people have died directly from warfare, including 125,000 civilians in Iraq. Many more have died indirectly, from the loss of clean drinking water, healthcare, and nutrition. An additional 365,000 have been wounded and 7.8 million people -- equal to the combined population of Connecticut and Kentucky -- have been displaced.

"Costs of War" brought together more than 20 academics to uncover the expense of war in lives and dollars, a daunting task given the inconsistent recording of lives lost and what the report called opaque and sloppy accounting by the U.S. Congress and the Pentagon.

The report underlines the extent to which war will continue to stretch the U.S. federal budget, which is already on an unsustainable course due to an aging American population and skyrocketing healthcare costs.

It also raises the question of what the United States gained from its multitrillion-dollar investment.

"I hope that when we look back, whenever this ends, something very good has come out of it," Senator Bob Corker, a Republican from Tennessee, told Reuters in Washington.

SEPT 11, 2001: THE DAMAGE CONTINUES

In one sense, the report measures the cost of 9/11, the American shorthand for the events of September 11, 2001. Nineteen hijackers plus other al Qaeda plotters spent an estimated $400,000 to $500,000 on the plane attacks that killed 2,995 people and caused $50 billion to $100 billion in economic damages.

What followed were three wars in which $50 billion amounts to a rounding error. For every person killed on September 11, another 73 have been killed since.

Was it worth it? That is a question many people want answered, said Catherine Lutz, head of the anthropology department at Brown and co-director of the study.

"We decided we needed to do this kind of rigorous assessment of what it cost to make those choices to go to war," she said. "Politicians, we assumed, were not going to do that kind of assessment."

The report arrives as Congress debates how to cut a U.S. deficit projected at $1.4 trillion this year, roughly a 10th of which can be attributed to direct war spending.

What did the United States gain for its trillions?

Strategically, the results for the United States are mixed. Osama bin Laden and Saddam Hussein are dead, but Iraq and Afghanistan are far from stable democracies. Iran has gained influence in the Gulf and the Taliban, though ousted from government, remain a viable military force in Afghanistan.

"The United States has been extremely successful in protecting the homeland," said George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR, a U.S.-based intelligence company.

"Al Qaeda in Afghanistan was capable of mounting very sophisticated, complex, operations on an intercontinental basis. That organization with that capability has not only been substantially reduced, it seems to have been shattered," Friedman said.

Economically, the results are also mixed. War spending may be adding half a percentage point a year to growth in the gross domestic product but that has been more than offset by the negative effects of deficit spending, the report concludes.

 

KUNINO

9:44 PM ET

June 29, 2011

You don't have to be a Bachmann fan ...

... to recognize that somebody who writes of her solely as "someone with her manifold deficiencies" has simply given up thinking and given up caring about issues he pretends to address.

I'm sure this woman has many deficiencies. I'm just as sure she has manifold strengths. This Walt snarl is another outing of Bad Stephen, the guy who reviewed the president's big speech some weeks ago, without waiting for the president to say it, or knowing what the president had to say. It seems Bad Stephen is going to be a regular visitor to this blog site. Today, BS despises not only Ms Bachmann, but also all those people who respect and trust her.

 

KICKSERVEJIM

1:06 AM ET

June 30, 2011

Michele Bachmann

Sends the same message to the world as the election of Obama with his manifold deficiencies.
And,we are sadly witnessing these deficiencies everyday..

 

SUHAILI

3:54 PM ET

June 30, 2011

what does the law say?

"full-body scanned at three different airports"

i used to put up with airport search because i thought it's private sector. but is it not now a us gov division? i read in yesterday's Sacramento paper that it's a felony refusing body scan of either types AND choosing not to fly. could not any one tell me if this is indeed true?

i'm sitting in LA's Union Station, having waited over nite to get a connection to Santa Fe, 3 nites and 2 trains. more expensive than fly. but we don't allow our houses to be searched without warrant--isn't body more a part of our private being than houses? so unless it's life or death, or close, i absolutely will not fly.

what annoyed me most were the passengers, actually, meekly subjecting to intrusive search. when i complained aloud (always make a point of complaining to the whole crowd), every one looked at me as if I was a nuisance. always say people deserve the kind of government they put up with.

it's not economy, it's courage, stupid.

 

THEANTICLAUS

9:38 PM ET

July 4, 2011

What About Syria?

Amazing!! Walt has the time to make a dig at Bachmann and Israel but completely fails to mention Syria! Just goes to prove even a so-called Realist can suffer from willful ignorance, failing to think that thousands of dead Arabs matter. I'll bet if 2 Palestinain terrorists were kiilled by israelis in the midst of attacking a Jewish family in Judea he'd howl bloody murder though, wouldn't he? What a joke this man is.

 

Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University.

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